Thursday, March 28, 2019

Mortgage rates to stay lower than forecast

Less than six months ago, mortgage rates marched above 5 percent – the first time in seven years – and for weeks showed no signs of abating.

It was a tipping point for house hunters. Beaten down by rising prices, meager housing choices and bidding wars, they saw rates as one more obstacle and called it quits, causing sales to plummet, even in the hottest of U.S. markets.

"It was somewhat of a surprise to see the degree and intensity of the pullback," said Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders. "Five percent at those pricing levels was enough to take the wind out of sails of the housing market."

Housing price increases continue to moderate according to the latest data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller house price index. In eight of the 20 largest U.S. cities, year-over-year price increases fell below 4%. (Photo: Feverpitched / iStock)

Enter Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who in December promised patience on further interest rate hikes and, on Wednesday, predicted that rates wouldn't budge for the rest of the year.

Mortgage rates are at 4.5 percent and aren't forecast to rise much for this year.

Here's what it means for this year's homebuying market.

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More buying power

Buyers won't have to race against the clock like in 2018 when rates started at 4.25 percent in January and were a half-point higher by April, said Mike Fratantoni, chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association.

"By the time they found a house, prices and rates had priced them out," he says. "That's very frustrating for buyers."

Lower rates – coupled with rising wages – helps affordability, too. The monthly payment for a $200,000, 30-year fixed mortgage is $71 dollars cheaper at 4.5 percent versus 5 percent. That doesn't sound like much but can make the difference for a buyer on the margins. Total interest savings over the life of the loan is more impressive at $21,699.

"While folks might not have hit the bottom of the rate cycle – no one can perfectly time markets – on the historic side, these are still very attractive rates," said John Pataky, executive vice president, chief consumer and banking executive at TIAA Bank.

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On the seller's side, there's finally some evidence that more move-up buyers are getting into the market, eventually freeing up inventory of desperately needed lower-priced homes. The average mortgage balance for purchases has reached record levels because of more move-up buyers, according to Fratantoni.

"It's a musical chairs game," he said. "You need someone in the higher end to move and it works its way down the ladder, eventually opening up an entry-level home."

Inventory in general has also been inching up, largely on the higher end, which has also seen the greatest slowdown in prices. Perhaps the trifecta of more supply, softening prices and lower rates is enough to convince some once-stubborn owners to trade up, adding more affordable homes on the market.

“We're seeing renters coming in, saying their landlords are selling the house and they want to buy.”

Nicole Reuth, branch manager at Fairway Independent Mortgage Corp. in Denver.

In Denver, there's anecdotal evidence that single-family landlords are putting their homes on the market to realize the gangbusters appreciation from the last several years – which slowed significantly in the fourth quarter – and reinvest those gains in a smaller, multifamily unit, says Nicole Reuth, branch manager at Fairway Independent Mortgage Corp. in Denver.

"We're seeing renters coming in, saying their landlords are selling the house and they want to buy," says Reuth, a real estate investor herself with 22 properties. "These are houses under $500,000. Sellers know they have something in very high demand."

Unexpected fuel?

Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American, has a contrarian view. First, rates aren't low enough to shake off the rate-trap effect, when homeowners decide against selling their home because they have a mortgage rate lower than the current levels.

"You would need rates to go down into the high 3s to undo the effects for a lot of existing homeowners," he said.

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Some inventory is coming onto the market, but not enough he says to satisfy demand. He still expects a wave of first-time homebuyers to come back into the market – especially given that rates have moderated from those scary, 5-percent levels.

"A lot of the softening may be off the table now. Yet again, we're setting ourselves up again for a pretty solid seller's market," he said. "I wouldn't be surprised if appreciation starts to pick up again."

Buyers: What you can control

As a buyer, you can't control the Fed or any of the other factors that could affect long-term interest rates. But there are a handful of things you can control that determine the interest rate you get on your mortgage.

Down payment: The more money you put down, the smaller your rate – with all other factors equal. That's because you're taking on more risk as a buyer and lessening the risk for your lender. On a monthly basis, you can eliminate private mortgage insurance portion if you can get a 20-percent down payment.

Credit rating: Lenders give the most favorable rates to people with higher credit scores who demonstrate a positive track record of repaying debts. On a $216,000, 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage, you'll get a sub-4 mortgage rate if you have the highest tier of credit scores – 760-850 – versus a 4.5-percent rate if your score is 660 to 679, according to FICO.

Debt-to-income: Lenders also look at the percentage of your debt payments to your total monthly income. The higher the percentage, the riskier the loan. If you can, pay off the debt with the highest monthly payment to lower your DTI.

CLOSE

The barrier for entry into the housing market today has risen so much that even wealthy people are holding off on buying homes. A 2018 study from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University found that high-earners were increasingly renting. Buzz60

 

Tuesday, March 26, 2019

Top 5 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2019

tags:NICK,EGLE,LUNA,FFNW,SAFM,

This article is reprinted by permission from NextAvenue.org.

Nearly 60 years ago, a writer calling himself Bob Belmont published a modest little book with an immodest title: "How to Retire Without Money!" You aren't likely to find it in your library, but you might come across a copy at a used book sale, as I did recently. I think I paid a quarter for it — and it was worth every penny.

Top 5 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2019: Nicholas Financial Inc.(NICK)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Nicholas Financial (NASDAQ: NICK) and Encore Capital Group (NASDAQ:ECPG) are both small-cap finance companies, but which is the better investment? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their dividends, institutional ownership, earnings, analyst recommendations, valuation, profitability and risk.

  • [By Max Byerly]

    Nicholas Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:NICK) major shareholder Adam K. Peterson acquired 5,500 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, August 9th. The shares were acquired at an average cost of $10.80 per share, for a total transaction of $59,400.00. The purchase was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink. Major shareholders that own 10% or more of a company’s stock are required to disclose their transactions with the SEC.

  • [By Max Byerly]

    CPI Card Group (NASDAQ: PMTS) and Nicholas Financial (NASDAQ:NICK) are both small-cap business services companies, but which is the better investment? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their risk, valuation, dividends, analyst recommendations, earnings, profitability and institutional ownership.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Nicholas Financial (NASDAQ: NICK) and Encore Capital Group (NASDAQ:ECPG) are both small-cap finance companies, but which is the better investment? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, dividends, earnings, profitability, institutional ownership, valuation and risk.

Top 5 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2019: Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc.(EGLE)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Several brokerages have updated their recommendations and price targets on shares of Eagle Bulk Shipping (NASDAQ: EGLE) in the last few weeks:

    7/2/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping was downgraded by analysts at ValuEngine from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating. 6/28/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping was downgraded by analysts at BidaskClub from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating. 6/18/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping is now covered by analysts at Morgan Stanley. They set an “equal weight” rating and a $6.50 price target on the stock. 6/18/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping is now covered by analysts at DNB Markets. They set a “buy” rating on the stock. 6/12/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping was downgraded by analysts at BidaskClub from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating. 6/2/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping was upgraded by analysts at BidaskClub from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating. 6/2/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping was upgraded by analysts at ValuEngine from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating. 5/29/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping is now covered by analysts at Evercore ISI. They set an “outperform” rating and a $7.50 price target on the stock. 5/15/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping was upgraded by analysts at Zacks Investment Research from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating. According to Zacks, “Eagle Bulk Shipping is the largest U.S. based owner of Handymax dry bulk vessels. Handymax dry bulk vessels range in size from 35,000 to 60,000 deadweight tons, or dwt, and transport a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes, including iron ore, coal, grain, cement and fertilizer, along worldwide shipping routes. “ 5/9/2018 – Eagle Bulk Shipping had its “hold” rating reaffirmed by analysts at Maxim Group. They now have a $6.00 price target on the
  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (NASDAQ:EGLE) major shareholder Goldentree Asset Management Lp acquired 84,969 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Monday, February 11th. The shares were bought at an average cost of $4.02 per share, for a total transaction of $341,575.38. The acquisition was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available at this link. Large shareholders that own at least 10% of a company’s shares are required to disclose their transactions with the SEC.

  • [By Motley Fool Transcribers]

    Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc  (NASDAQ:EGLE)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallMarch 06, 2019, 8:00 a.m. ET

    Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

    Operator

Top 5 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2019: Luna Innovations Incorporated(LUNA)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Logan Wallace]

    PRA Health Sciences (NASDAQ: PRAH) and Luna Innovations (NASDAQ:LUNA) are both medical companies, but which is the better business? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their dividends, valuation, analyst recommendations, institutional ownership, profitability, risk and earnings.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Luna Coin (CURRENCY:LUNA) traded up 0.8% against the dollar during the one day period ending at 14:00 PM Eastern on September 18th. One Luna Coin coin can now be bought for about $0.0086 or 0.00000135 BTC on exchanges including CoinExchange and YoBit. Luna Coin has a market cap of $14,603.00 and approximately $2.00 worth of Luna Coin was traded on exchanges in the last day. In the last seven days, Luna Coin has traded down 6.7% against the dollar.

  • [By Max Byerly]

    Luna Innovations Incorporated (NASDAQ:LUNA) rose 16.6% during trading on Monday . The company traded as high as $4.14 and last traded at $3.93. Approximately 651,876 shares changed hands during mid-day trading, an increase of 1,262% from the average daily volume of 47,854 shares. The stock had previously closed at $3.37.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Luna Innovations (NASDAQ:LUNA) major shareholder Clinic Carilion sold 6,100 shares of Luna Innovations stock in a transaction on Friday, May 25th. The shares were sold at an average price of $3.41, for a total transaction of $20,801.00. Following the completion of the sale, the insider now owns 2,054,385 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $7,005,452.85. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Large shareholders that own at least 10% of a company’s shares are required to disclose their sales and purchases with the SEC.

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on Luna Innovations (LUNA)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Luna Coin (CURRENCY:LUNA) traded 5.2% higher against the dollar during the 24 hour period ending at 16:00 PM Eastern on September 26th. Luna Coin has a total market capitalization of $11,480.00 and approximately $13.00 worth of Luna Coin was traded on exchanges in the last day. One Luna Coin coin can now be bought for $0.0067 or 0.00000104 BTC on major exchanges including CoinExchange and YoBit. Over the last seven days, Luna Coin has traded 20.8% lower against the dollar.

Top 5 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2019: First Financial Northwest Inc.(FFNW)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on First Financial Northwest (FFNW)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on First Financial Northwest (FFNW)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on First Financial Northwest (FFNW)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Max Byerly]

    First Financial Northwest (NASDAQ:FFNW) will be announcing its earnings results on Tuesday, July 24th. Analysts expect the company to announce earnings of $0.26 per share for the quarter.

Top 5 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2019: Sanderson Farms Inc.(SAFM)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Motley Fool Transcribers]

    Sanderson Farms Inc  (NASDAQ:SAFM)Q1 2019 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 26, 2019, 11:00 a.m. ET

    Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

    Operator

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Tuesday morning, the consumer staples shares surged 0.17 percent. Meanwhile, top gainers in the sector included CV Sciences, Inc. (OTC: CVSI), up 6 percent, and Sanderson Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) up 5 percent.

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    ValuEngine cut shares of Sanderson Farms (NASDAQ:SAFM) from a strong-buy rating to a buy rating in a research report released on Wednesday morning.

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Breaking news

    Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE: BBY) reported better-than-expected earnings for its first quarter. Sanderson Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) reported weaker-than-expected results for its second quarter. Medtronic plc (NYSE: MDT) reported upbeat earnings for its fourth quarter on Thursday. Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE: WSM) reported stronger-than-expected results for its first quarter. The company also raised its FY18 earnings and sales guidance.

Saturday, March 23, 2019

4 Questions (And Answers) About Selling Options For Income

One of my premium Income Trader readers asked some very important questions this week, and I want to share the answers with everyone. 

For those of you who are unaware, our whole mission over at Income Trader is to use the power of options to safely earn extra income. If you know how options work, or if you've ever dabbled in options, then you may have asked similar questions before.

Her question began, "I am very nervous about selling put options after being assigned multiple stocks that declined in the last three months of 2018. Because of my negative experience with put selling last year, I am wondering if you could give me guidance on a few questions." 

Below, I am going to share the specific numbered questions followed by answers. 

Question 1: "In Income Trader, what is the general strategy to deal with stocks that experience sharp declines after we sell a put? Is it to accept assignment and then sell covered calls?" 

Answer: This will sound a little flippant but please don't take it that way. My general strategy is to avoid stocks that are at risk of a sharp decline and I select trades with that in mind. 

In general terms, I look for a combination of safety and income. The reason my screening rules start with safety before considering income is because the cost of a losing trade can be significant. 

When looking at safety, I screen for stocks that have a higher-than-average probability of rising in price and options that offer higher-than-average value. I even developed the Income Trader Volatility (ITV) indicator to specifically identify trades like that. 

When looking at income, I target the maximum amount of safe income. We could receive significantly more income in dollar terms by using different options. But I want safe income, so I accept less income in dollar terms while still achieving annualized income that is usually 20% or more. 

I also focus on short-term trades. The options I recommend will usually expire in less than 45 days. Some will be open less than two weeks. We could easily increase income by using options with more time to expiration. But we increase risks when we do that. 

For example, if we have a position open when the company announces earnings, we have a high level of risk. Other traders understand that, and the options price reflects the risk. We could obtain high income by selling those options. 

When earnings are announced, there is about a 75% probability the company will beat analysts' estimates and the stock is likely to rise on the news. There is a 25% chance the company will miss expectations and the stock could sell off on the news. To me, risk of 25% is too high and I will pass on that trade, no matter how much income is available. 

Occasionally, the unexpected does happen and the option will be subject to assignment. I will usually recommend closing the trade rather than accept assignment. When doing that in the past, closing the position a day or two before expiration, the costs have been relatively low. 

But here's the thing to keep in mind... Overall, the income from the winning trades more than offsets the occasional loss in my experience. Accepting assignment and selling covered calls ties up capital that could be used for short-term trades and in the long run, accepting assignment is rarely the best strategy. 

Sometimes, it may be best to accept assignment and if I believe that is the case, I will fully explain my rationale for that position. But to sum up, my strategy is to avoid assignment and we've been able to do that with a high degree of consistency. 

Question 2: "I notice in the past, many trades you recommend are priced near $100 and even higher. That means if we are assigned, those positions will require significant capital. Why do you select those stocks?" 

Answer: I prioritize safety. Although I wish there were safe puts to sell on $20 stocks, there rarely are. There are often trades that look attractive based solely on potential income, and that is why selling puts on low-priced stocks can be so appealing. But the risks will generally outweigh the rewards, and, by prioritizing risk, these trades don't meet my requirements. 

Question 3: "With the uncertainty regarding possible market corrections, why do you believe selling put options can still be a profitable strategy?" 

Answer: I believe my strategy is safe in all market environments. But that's not necessarily true of selling puts in general. 

I have read hundreds of times that selling puts is the key to success because most options expire worthless. Some articles claim more than 75% of options expire worthless, or 80%, or more than 90%. The articles conclude that Wall Street firms are benefitting from all these trades, so individuals should sell options to be on the winning side of Wall Street. 

Absolutely none of that is true. I tracked down the source of this claim. There was a study that found that three out of four options held to expiration, on average, expire worthless. 

That means 75% of options that are open on the day the options expire end up being worthless. The study ignores the majority of the contracts that are closed before expiration day. 

I found the data that was used in the study and calculated that when all of the data is properly considered, just 5.5% of options expired worthless. The reality is that generating income by selling options is one of the more difficult tasks in the investment world. 

That's where my strategy comes in... Years ago, I understood that I needed something different if I was going to succeed at this strategy, and I put in the time to study the market and developed the ITV indicator. I've been using that indicator in real time with great success, in up and down markets. I've also tested the indicator on more than 20 years' worth of data and demonstrated its value. (In 2015, the Market Technicians Association recognized my research and development of the ITV indicator with its prestigious Charles H. Dow award.) 

I believe my strategy is profitable, but I don't believe put selling, in general, is profitable. I apologize if that sounds arrogant. I just believe in my strategy because I have worked so hard to develop it and it has delivered excellent results for years. 

Question 4: "From the record of closed trades, it seems that you did not experience many losses or have options assigned as the market declined at the end of last year. Is that correct?" 

Answer: That is correct and that is why I strictly follow my rules. I work very hard to generate income from short-term trades so that we can continually compound gains. My record shows my approach is as safe as I can make it. 

Action To Take
Like I said, if you're familiar with how options work, then hopefully you found some of these answers beneficial. Now, I know there are probably more questions that some of you may have, and I'm here to help. I will do my best to answer as many as possible.

In the meantime, if you're not already an Income Trader subscriber, then I encourage you to learn more about our strategy by visiting this page.

Monday, March 18, 2019

United Continental Holdings Inc (UAL) Short Interest Update

United Continental Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:UAL) saw a significant increase in short interest in February. As of February 28th, there was short interest totalling 21,022,387 shares, an increase of 11.3% from the February 15th total of 18,887,278 shares. Approximately 7.7% of the company’s stock are sold short. Based on an average daily trading volume, of 2,591,384 shares, the short-interest ratio is currently 8.1 days.

NASDAQ UAL opened at $81.49 on Friday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34, a quick ratio of 0.47 and a current ratio of 0.54. United Continental has a 52-week low of $64.79 and a 52-week high of $97.85. The stock has a market cap of $21.30 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.93, a P/E/G ratio of 0.35 and a beta of 0.98.

Get United Continental alerts:

United Continental (NASDAQ:UAL) last released its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, January 15th. The transportation company reported $2.41 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the Zacks’ consensus estimate of $1.84 by $0.57. United Continental had a return on equity of 27.73% and a net margin of 5.15%. The firm had revenue of $10.49 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $10.34 billion. During the same quarter last year, the company posted $1.40 earnings per share. The business’s revenue was up 11.0% on a year-over-year basis. Analysts predict that United Continental will post 11.41 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Several equities analysts have issued reports on UAL shares. Cowen reaffirmed a “market perform” rating and set a $99.00 price objective (up previously from $94.00) on shares of United Continental in a report on Thursday, January 17th. Vertical Research started coverage on United Continental in a report on Monday, February 4th. They set a “buy” rating and a $103.00 price objective on the stock. Zacks Investment Research lowered United Continental from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Tuesday, December 18th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised United Continental from a “neutral” rating to an “overweight” rating and set a $95.00 price objective on the stock in a report on Thursday, January 10th. Finally, Credit Suisse Group started coverage on United Continental in a report on Monday, November 19th. They set an “outperform” rating and a $113.00 price objective on the stock. One research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, seven have assigned a hold rating and twelve have given a buy rating to the company’s stock. United Continental has a consensus rating of “Buy” and a consensus target price of $100.88.

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in UAL. MML Investors Services LLC grew its holdings in shares of United Continental by 8.1% during the fourth quarter. MML Investors Services LLC now owns 4,486 shares of the transportation company’s stock worth $376,000 after buying an additional 336 shares during the last quarter. Kentucky Retirement Systems Insurance Trust Fund purchased a new position in shares of United Continental during the fourth quarter worth about $379,000. Municipal Employees Retirement System of Michigan purchased a new position in shares of United Continental during the fourth quarter worth about $515,000. Kentucky Retirement Systems purchased a new position in shares of United Continental during the fourth quarter worth about $834,000. Finally, HighPoint Advisor Group LLC purchased a new position in shares of United Continental during the fourth quarter worth about $879,000. 97.71% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

TRADEMARK VIOLATION NOTICE: This news story was first published by Ticker Report and is the property of of Ticker Report. If you are viewing this news story on another publication, it was illegally stolen and republished in violation of U.S. & international copyright law. The legal version of this news story can be read at https://www.tickerreport.com/banking-finance/4222003/united-continental-holdings-inc-ual-short-interest-update.html.

About United Continental

United Continental Holdings, Inc, together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional operations. As of December 31, 2017, the company operated a fleet of 1,262 aircraft.

Further Reading: How Buying a Call Option Works

Sunday, March 17, 2019

Analyzing U.S. Global Investors (GROW) and Federated Investors (FII)

U.S. Global Investors (NASDAQ:GROW) and Federated Investors (NYSE:FII) are both finance companies, but which is the superior investment? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, dividends, valuation, earnings, profitability, risk and institutional ownership.

Volatility & Risk

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U.S. Global Investors has a beta of 0.99, indicating that its stock price is 1% less volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Federated Investors has a beta of 0.82, indicating that its stock price is 18% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Dividends

U.S. Global Investors pays an annual dividend of $0.03 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.5%. Federated Investors pays an annual dividend of $1.08 per share and has a dividend yield of 3.6%. Federated Investors pays out 45.2% of its earnings in the form of a dividend.

Analyst Ratings

This is a summary of recent recommendations for U.S. Global Investors and Federated Investors, as provided by MarketBeat.com.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score
U.S. Global Investors 0 0 0 0 N/A
Federated Investors 0 6 1 0 2.14

Federated Investors has a consensus target price of $27.14, suggesting a potential downside of 8.61%. Given Federated Investors’ higher probable upside, analysts plainly believe Federated Investors is more favorable than U.S. Global Investors.

Valuation & Earnings

This table compares U.S. Global Investors and Federated Investors’ revenue, earnings per share (EPS) and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio
U.S. Global Investors $6.26 million 2.93 $640,000.00 N/A N/A
Federated Investors $1.14 billion 2.64 $220.29 million $2.39 12.43

Federated Investors has higher revenue and earnings than U.S. Global Investors.

Profitability

This table compares U.S. Global Investors and Federated Investors’ net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets
U.S. Global Investors -98.83% -22.19% -20.30%
Federated Investors 19.40% 29.33% 17.26%

Institutional & Insider Ownership

25.2% of U.S. Global Investors shares are owned by institutional investors. Comparatively, 85.3% of Federated Investors shares are owned by institutional investors. 5.3% of Federated Investors shares are owned by company insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that endowments, large money managers and hedge funds believe a company is poised for long-term growth.

Summary

Federated Investors beats U.S. Global Investors on 10 of the 13 factors compared between the two stocks.

U.S. Global Investors Company Profile

U.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to investment companies. It also provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. The firm manages equity and fixed income mutual funds for its clients. It also manages hedge funds. The firm also manages exchange traded funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It invests in G.A.R.P. and value stocks to make its equity investments. The firm employs a fundamental and quantitative analysis with top-down and bottom-up stock picking approach to make its investments. U.S. Global Investors, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.

Federated Investors Company Profile

Federated Investors, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, including high net worth individuals, banking or thrift institutions, investment companies, pension and profit sharing plans, pooled investment vehicles, charitable organizations, state or municipal government entities, and registered investment advisors. Through its subsidiaries, it manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, balanced and money market mutual funds along with separate client-focused equity, fixed income, money market, and balanced portfolios. Through its subsidiaries, the firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It invests in growth and value stocks of small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap companies. The firm makes its fixed income investments in ultra-short, short-term, and intermediate-term mortgage-backed, U.S. Government, U.S. corporate, high yield, and municipal securities. It employs both fundamental and quantitative analysis to make its equity investments. Federated Investors, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with additional offices in New York City and London, United Kingdom.

Friday, March 15, 2019

HomeStreet Inc (HMST) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

HomeStreet Inc  (NASDAQ:HMST)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallJan. 22, 2019, 1:00 p.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the HomeStreet Inc Year End and Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions) After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. (Operator Instructions) Please note this event is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Mark Mason, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Mark Mason -- Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President

Hello and thank you for joining us for our year-end and fourth quarter 2018 earnings call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that our detailed earnings release was furnished this morning to the SEC on Form 8-K and is available on our website at ir.homestreet.com under the News and Events link. In addition, a recording and a transcript of this call will be available at the same address following the call.

On today's call, we will make some forward-looking statements. Any statement that isn't a description of historical facts is probably forward-looking and is subject to many risks and uncertainties. Our actual performance may fall short of our expectations or we may take actions different from those we currently anticipate. Those factors include conditions affecting the mortgage markets, such as changes in interest rates and housing supply that affect the demand for our mortgages and that impact our net interest margin and other aspects of our financial performance, the actions, findings, or requirements of our regulators and general economic conditions that affect our net interest margins, borrower credit performance, loan origination volumes and the value of mortgage servicing rights.

Other factors that may cause actual results to differ from our expectations or that may cause us to deviate from our current plans are identified in our detailed earnings release and in our SEC filings, including our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q as well as our various other SEC filings. Additionally, information on any non-GAAP financial measures referenced in today's call, including a reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures maybe found in our SEC filings and in the detailed earnings release available on our website. Please refer to our detailed earnings release for more discussion of our financial condition and results of operations.

Joining me today is our Chief Financial Officer, Mark Ruh. In a moment, Mark will present our financial results. But first, I would like to give an update on our results of operations and review our progress in executing our business strategy.

Notwithstanding the impact of a challenging period in the mortgage banking cycle, I'm proud of what we accomplished in 2018. Our Commercial and Consumer Banking segment achieved record net income for the year, driven primarily by a 12% increase in loans held for investment, all of which was from organic growth. This growth was broad based in all of our primary, commercial and consumer segment business lines. Of note, commercial and industrial lending portfolio grew 16%, reflecting the substantial investments we've made in this line of business.

Overall, loan growth drove an increase in our net interest income during the year, despite a decline in our net interest margin. The yield curve ended the year flatter than previous quarters. December 2018 marked both the lowest spread between the two year Treasury and the 10 year Treasury, and the first, time the yield curve was inverted along parts of the term structure since 2007. During the fourth quarter, our loan portfolio grew only 1%, which was less than our expectation of 2% to 4% growth. The lower growth was due to the sale of approximately $70 million of single family loans in the quarter. For the year loans held for investment grew 12%.

This interest rate environment and increasing competition for deposits continues to pressure our net interest margin. After several quarters of short term interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve without a similar upwards movement in long term rates, our cost of funds has increased at a faster rate than the yield on our assets. Additionally, we experienced outflows of demand deposits by some of our commercial clients associated with the mortgage industry as seasonal servicing deposit remittances, which we replaced with higher cost wholesale deposits and borrowing. For the year, deposits grew 6% lower than our expectations going into the year, reflecting a more competitive deposit market.

Notwithstanding a seasonal industrywide competitive pressure, our de novo branches, those opened five years or less, grew deposit balances by 6.8% during the qu

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (AMPH) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:AMPH) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallMarch 12, 2019 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Amphastar fourth-quarter earnings conference call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call may be recorded. All statements on this conference call that are not historical or forward-looking statements, including among other things, statements relating to the company's expectations regarding future financial performance, backlog, sales and marketing of its products, market size and growth, the timing of FDA filings or approvals, including the DMF of ANP, the timing of product launches, acquisitions and other matters related to its pipeline of products candidates, its share buyback program and other future events. These statements are not historical facts, but rather are based on Amphastar's historical performance and its current expectations, estimates and projections regarding Amphastar's business, operations and other similar or related factors.

Words such as may, might, will, could, would, should, anticipate, predict, potential, continue, expect, intend, plan, project, believe, estimate or other similar or related expressions are used to identify these forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these words. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult or impossible to predict, and in some cases, beyond Amphastar's control. Actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of a number of factors, including those described in Amphastar's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. You can locate these reports through the company's website at ir.amphastar.com and on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.

Amphastar undertakes no obligation to revise or update information in this press release or the conference call referenced above to reflect events or circumstances in the future even if new information becomes available of -- or if subsequent events cause Amphastar's expectations to change. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Jason Shandell, president of Amphastar. Sir, you may begin.

Jason Shandell -- President

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Amphastar Pharmaceuticals' fourth-quarter earnings call. My name is Jason Shandell, president of Amphastar. I'm joined today with my colleague Bill Peters, CFO of Amphastar.

Today, I look forward to speaking with you and answering any questions you may have. I will now turn the call over to our CFO, Bill Peters to discuss the fourth-quarter financials.

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jason. Sales for the fourth quarter increased 48% to $89.7 million from $60.4 million in the previous year's period. Sales of enoxaparin rose to $19.1 million from $11.3 million. The enoxaparin market shortage we experienced during the third quarter continued into November, and we sold more units at higher noncontract prices again in the fourth quarter.

Medroxyprogesterone launched in January of 2018 had sales of $7.4 million during the quarter. Perhaps most importantly, we launched Primatene Mist and recorded sales of $3.6 million as we lowered our product nationally into Walgreens and CVS. Gross margins improved year over year due to sales of newly launched higher-margin products such as medroxyprogesterone, Primatene Mist and isoproterenol. Selling, distribution and marketing expenses increased to $2.6 million from $1.6 million on higher freight costs and the initial expenses in the marketing campaign for Primatene.

General and administrative spending increased 50% to $13.8 million from $9.2 million, primarily due to increased legal expenses and higher expenses at our Chinese subsidiary, Amphastar Nanjing Pharmaceuticals. Research and development expenditures increased to 47% to $16.7 million from $11.4 million due to increased clinical trial expenses, increased expenses associated with API development and higher FDA filing fees. The company reported net income of $1.9 million or $0.04 per share compared to last year's fourth-quarter net income of $800,000 or $0.02 per share. The company reported adjusted net income of $6.2 million or $0.13 per share compared to an adjusted net income of approximately $4.1 million or $0.08 per share in the fourth quarter of last year.

Adjusted earnings exclude amortization, equity compensation and impairments. Let me review a few of the financial assumptions that we'll be using as we look toward 2019. We expect sales growth to be driven by Primatene Mist and one or two ANDAs, which may be approved later this year. The consensus sales estimate for 2019 is nearly $350 million, which will be difficult to reach without strong Primatene sales and at least two ANDA approvals.

Annualizing the fourth quarter sales trend is not a good way to estimate 2019 because part of the sales increase in the quarter was due to supplying products, which were in market shortage situations, including enoxaparin. Several of these shortages were rectified by the end of the year, so sales of those products will not continue at those high levels into 2019. We expect gross margins to increase as we sell more Primatene Mist. Remember that we had expensed all of our API in component inventory for this product prior to its approval.

Therefore, sales of Primatene will be at high-margin levels until we sell through this inventory. However, the continued price increases of heparin will have a negative impact on the margin of enoxaparin. Our selling, distribution expense will increase significantly, as we plan to spend at least $1 million every quarter on marketing expenses related to Primatene Mist. We expect G&A spending increases related to compliance costs and legal expenses associated with Paragraph IV patent challenges at our upcoming trial.

Additionally, we will have to comply with Sarbanes-Oxley 404 Part B this year, so we'll be devoting more resources to internal controls. We expect research and development spending will continue to increase in both dollar terms and as a percentage of sales as we currently have one inhalation clinical trial ongoing, and a trial for our first insulin product is planned for later this year. During the quarter, the company repurchased approximately $2.6 million of stock to bring total repurchases for the year to over $25 million. So I'll now turn the call back over to Jason.

Jason Shandell -- President

Thanks, Bill. 2018 was a great year for the company. We had multiple ANDA approvals and launches throughout the year, culminating in a milestone FDA approval of our NDA for over-the-counter Primatene Mist in the fourth quarter. We are very excited by this approval and believe that Primatene could return to peak sales of $65 million in the next two to three years.

The pipeline continues to make very good progress as can be seen from the recent increase in R&D expenses. We now have five ANDAs on file, targeting products with a market size of over $750 million; three biosimilar products in development, targeting products with a market size of over $14 billion; and 11 generic products in development, targeting products with a market size of over $12 billion. Of the five ANDAs on file, four of them were granted competitive genetic therapy designation. This designation applies for drugs with inadequate generic competition.

FDA will provide a priority review for ANDAs under this designation, which includes more active communications with the sponsor and striving to act on the ANDA as soon as possible, including prior to the GDUFA goal date. Furthermore, it allows for a new type of 180-day exclusivity even if the brand product is not protected by a patent and there is no Paragraph IV certification. We plan to file an additional two to three ANDAs this year, including our first inhalation ANDA, for which we have begun bioequivalence clinical trials. In the first quarter, we had two preapproval inspections for our ANDAs on file with the agency.

With respect to our remaining four grandfathered products, demand remains very strong and all are now on file with the agency with one GDUFA date later this year. We had mentioned on the last call that we had just received a CRL for a very complex ANDA that has no generic approval to date. We fully responded to the agency and have received the GDUFA date for late this year. We are also making good progress on our insulin programs and are planning to file an IND on one of the products this month.

With respect to our intranasal naloxone NDA, we received a general advice letter from the agency, and currently, are working on improving the product based on FDA's advice. Finally, we are very happy with the launch of Primatene Mist and are now selling the product in the three largest drugstore chains: Walgreens, CVS and Rite Aid. We've been receiving regular reports on retail sales and the trend is looking positive. We believe that our digital marketing strategy is working well in terms of building awareness of the brand.

The major components of this advertising campaign include paid search, display banners and paid social media. Our media agency provides us with metrics, showing the click through rates to our website and then further to the online retailers, and these metrics show that we're making good traction with consumers. With that update, I will now turn the call over to the operator to begin Q&A.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our first question comes from David Amsellem with Piper Jaffray. Your line is open.

David Amsellem -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Thanks. Just a couple. First on Primatene. Can you talk about your plans for selling the product in other stores as the year progresses? What about the big box stores like Walmart and how we should think about that? And then secondly, on Primatene, can you give us more specifics on how we should think about your gross margins this year? And how much higher, the expense, which it's going to be higher than your corporate gross margins? And then help us understand steady-state beyond this year for gross margins.

And then, lastly, on the injectable that you had a CRL on. Are you still expecting by the end of this year or into next year that there will not be competition? Or if there is, will be only a limited competition product?

Jason Shandell -- President

Yes, thanks for those questions. This is Jason. I'll start out with the question about the other big box stores. So definitely, our original strategy was with the brick-and-mortar, the drug stores, especially Walgreens and CVS and Rite Aid.

We've been building inventory because Walmart, obviously, is a big percentage of our sales. Based on prior history, Walmart actually made up 35% of the sales of Primatene, and so we are in discussions with Walmart right now and should be launching to Walmart in the coming months.

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

As far as the gross margin on Primatene goes, the only expenses for the first -- the launch in December and really most of the sales for the first quarter had to do with buying the packaging materials and the label inserts and the labels and then the labor associated with packaging the product because we already made several hundred thousand units, expensed all of that at the time they were manufactured. Additionally, we have probably two more quarters' worth of components and two more years' worth of API that we had previously expensed. So I'd say just to give you a range, the gross margins this year should be in the 80% to 90% range, and -- but then drop after this year, as we get the components, as we work through those, but it still will remain a product that has much higher than our typical gross margins.

Jason Shandell -- President

And this is Jason again. Yes, with respect to the CRL, the product that has no generic approvals, I've discussed this product in the past. It's a very complex product. There's no patent or exclusivity.

It's been our patent for quite a while. And I have said as well that I think upon approval, some may be surprised that it's not 5052b2, and so we are very confident and don't believe that we would see competition on the horizon. That being said, you never know, but we don't believe there is competition for quite a while.

David Amsellem -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

OK. Thanks, Jason. Thanks, Bill.

Jason Shandell -- President

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Elliot Wilbur with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Thanks. Good afternoon. Given some of your commentary around top-line trends and then some of the expectations for accelerated spending in 2019, how should we be thinking now about your commentary from last quarter, I suppose, in terms of expecting profitability in 2019 and expecting, I guess, each of the quarters to be profitable as well? Does that still hold in some -- in light of some of the updated revised expectations around top and -- top-line trends and spend guidance?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. So I'll say that we don't want to say that we'll definitely be profitable every quarter, but our goal is to be profitable for the year this year. And a lot of it will depend on the timing of approvals. The sooner we can get some of these products approved, if the larger one that we've been talking about is supposed to be later in the year.

I think at the time, we had -- we're hoping we'd probably get that earlier this year than we think we will now. So that's going to put a delay on some pretty meaningful sales there and that's kind of what we had been thinking just a probably a quarter ago.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

OK. And as -- just couple of questions on the pipeline as well. I think last quarter, you -- we had -- or you had talked about your two new filings in both BMP4s, one of them, obviously, you've been sued on, but I thought the other -- I guess based on the timing of your last discussion, you were still kind of within the 45-day window. So not sure what's happened there.

It doesn't seem like there's been any litigation around that product. Just wanted to get some color on that.

Jason Shandell -- President

So yes, just to clarify from the last call, so the one we were sued on, that's the vasopressin product by par. The other one that I had referred to, we did not get sued on, so there is no 30-month stay.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

OK. But that's an asset that already has existing generic competition?

Jason Shandell -- President

No.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

It does not. OK.

Jason Shandell -- President

Does not.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

OK. And then, I believe -- and I didn't catch it in your prepared commentary, but you had also expected to begin a second inhalation of respiratory trial sometime, I believe, in the second quarter?

Jason Shandell -- President

Oh, I'm sorry, just to clarify on that, I talked about two trials. One is already ongoing and that's inhalation. The next trial that was referred to in the prepared remarks is for insulin.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

OK. But I guess, my expectation was based on prior commentary that there will be a second inhalation trial initiated this year. Am I just -- am I incorrect in that?

Jason Shandell -- President

Yes. There will be this year. The one that we're expecting to file on this year is currently ongoing, but we are planning to start another one later this year.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

OK. And just one last question. Any update with respect to epinephrine and the vial formulation? I know you continue to sell, I believe, it's...

Jason Shandell -- President

So we continue to sell in the prefilled syringe and that's one of our grandfathered products. Then at this point, all of our grandfathered products are on file with the agency. However, we have not talked about the vial in terms of the status of the refiling. It possibly could be one of the products on file, but we have not confirmed that.

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

OK. All right. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from David Maris with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

David Maris -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Congratulations on another great quarter. A couple of questions. So the first, see, given that we're pretty much done with the first quarter at this point, that was the benefit of reporting so late, can you tell us -- give us a little update on how Primatene Mist is doing this quarter? Is there anything that makes you think that getting to the historical levels of sales might be more difficult or less difficult than you thought? You mentioned earlier that you're still hopeful in the next two to three years. But any color around how -- like what new retailers you added in the first quarter or any activities around that would be helpful? The second is I see you have the DMF for protamine sulfate and you also have a DMF for insulin.

Are you planning on using these together for Humalog? Or is there a different use that you're aware of a marketed drug for protamine? And then I just want an update on the Sandoz litigation.

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Let me start with the Primatene question. So we did begin selling to Rite Aid in the first quarter, so that is a first quarter event, and so we did stock all of their stores across the United States. Clearly, that's a lot smaller than stocking Walgreens and CVS, which is what we did in the fourth quarter.

The sales trends are very positive there. We've seen -- we're seeing a lot of feedback from the retailers. We get regular reports from the retailers. The trends are -- the product is growing week by week.

And as Jason had mentioned earlier to other question, we are in discussions with Walmart, so loading into Walmart would be a big sales event that we would think would be coming in the next few months. It's way too early to tell you about the $65 million sales number, which is what we used to sell the product. And we still believe two to three years, and it's really hard to say whether it's two or three years, but we see no reason why that, that target won't be met in that time frame.

Jason Shandell -- President

And this is Jason. So yes, David, as usual, you're very good at identifying the DMFs and how they play into the pipeline. So it is correct that protamine is used in insulin. We haven't discussed the different products that we're working on in terms of the insulins, but we are working on three insulins.

And actually, protamine can be used for some of our other pipeline products as well. And then with respect to the Sandoz litigation, it's progressing. The litigation, the trial is scheduled for September, but we remain confident that this could be settled before the trial.

David Maris -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

Jason Shandell -- President

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gary Nachman with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

Good afternoon. First, also a few on Primatene. What are the gross to net discounts right now? How much are you giving up in terms of discounts and rebates to the retailers? And how should that trend this year? And any seasonality that we should be expecting over the course of the year for that?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

So as we had said before, the WAC price is $24.88 and the gross to net should be around 25% to 30%. And that's where we expect it to be for the initial term and that could change over time. But that's where -- it's kind of in that range right now. There's really been no change in the trend.

We're just only a few months into this. And as far as seasonality goes, we have heard that there is an uptick in trends around the allergy season, but the -- our sales of Primatene prior to it coming off the market did not have a strong seasonality component to it. So it was -- there was a very small seasonal component.

Jason Shandell -- President

Yes, and it's interesting. So to the seasonality, using the paid search and our digital campaign, we're going to explore that further, and perhaps, add a little bit more dollars to the spend during that allergy season and see if that maybe does make a difference from back when we sold Primatene CFC version, which we knew that it was sunsetting at the end of 2011, so we were not actively marketing it. So it'll be interesting to see if -- now that we're marketing the product, if we do see an uptick in sales in those periods.

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

OK, that's helpful. And then on the pipeline, could you just describe the clinical trials for both the inhalation product and the insulin that you're expecting, like what would you hope to see from those? And just the update on intranasal naloxone, what you guys think will be the path forward there based on the FDA's advice?

Jason Shandell -- President

Sure. So for the inhalation trial, that's an ANDA, so it's a bioequivalence trial. So we're just looking to see that it has the same effects as the RLD. And for the insulin trial, we're looking to file the IND this month, and so it will begin with a pilot clinical trial.

But given how insulin is a protein and can cause allergic reactions, that's something that we need the sign-off from FDA before we begin the pilot clinicals. And then finally on...

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

On naloxone, yes.

Jason Shandell -- President

Yes, naloxone, so we had talked about that previously. So we finally did get feedback from the FDA regarding the data that we submitted, and they honed in on a few specific aspects of our data and have asked for some further analysis, which we're currently working on, but it is feasible.

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

OK. Actually, I have one more quick one for Bill, just the enoxaparin. So what should we be thinking about as a normalized run rate because it's, obviously, been a little muddy the last couple of quarters with the noncontracted sales. So does it go back to where it was in 2Q? Or you actually probably got some benefit, right, from -- maybe from share and price?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes, yes. We -- the share is kind of mixed, I'll say. The price is a little higher than it was back then. So it will be definitely above the second quarter, but well below the third and the fourth quarter, so somewhere in the middle there.

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

OK. And it's a big range. I mean, should we think like low teens or something per quarter? Is that fair?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

That's a fair place to start.

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

OK. All right. Thanks guys.

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our next question comes from Serge Belanger with Needham & Company. Your line is open.

Serge Belanger -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. Just a couple of questions for me. Bill, you -- there -- you had a couple of products that had some pretty strong fourth quarters.

I know you touched upon enoxaparin, but what about lidocaine and the vitamin K product, was there some seasonality there? Or how much of that strength can follow through in 2019?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes, those are pretty typical of what we expect to see going forward for lidocaine and for phytonadione, no seasonality. I think maybe one of the few -- lidocaine had a little bit of a shortage from a competitor, but phytonadione is -- we expect that to keep going the way it is.

Serge Belanger -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

OK. And then on R&D, I know -- how should we look at the progression of that line through '19? Do you have a -- the inhalation trial, one of them will compete -- complete in the second quarter, and then you talked about the insulin program, should we expect any lumpiness?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes, there's definitely -- it just really depends on the timing because we're not exactly sure when that insulin trial starts, but it could overlap with some of the inhalation product, and then later on in the year, we should have both the insulin and a next inhalation product overlapping. So it goes up from where we are now, and especially, at the end of the year, it could go up. Third and fourth quarter could be significantly higher than we had in the fourth quarter of this year.

Serge Belanger -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

All right. That's all for me. Thanks.

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from David Steinberg with Jefferies. Your line is open.

David Steinberg -- Jefferies -- Analyst

You had mentioned that you bought a substantial amount of stock last year, I think, to the tune of about $25 million. Does that imply that the company just hasn't found any great assets to buy? Or are you looking pretty aggressively? And if you are, what are you seeing in terms of valuations out there? And then secondly, I know the CFC version of Primatene back in the old days, there's tens of millions of dollars spent that it has, and I think you've said you're not going to come close to that, but you will do some advertising. And I may have missed it, but have you started the DTC ads yet? And if not, how will it be facing this year? And roughly, what would you be spending on them?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

So for the first question on business development, yes, we're always looking at things, and we probably have looked at more things recently than there were in the past -- over the past year. But really -- we really are looking for things that fit in very well with the business. And we really haven't found a lot of things that really even make sense for us to bid on. So we haven't -- while we've done a little bit more work recently, there's been some things out there that we're interested in.

Nothing has really come to a point where we think it's at a price where it makes sense for us to do a deal on. Our core strategy is to rely on our pipeline and focus on that.

Jason Shandell -- President

And in terms of the advertising marketing campaign, it really did just kick off last month. And this is because the spend for television is so high, we are focusing it as a digital campaign, which includes paid search, display banners, paid social media. Our strategy, we figure, is when we launch in Walmart, which will be soon, we will then ramp up our spend on the advertising. And so Bill alluded to that in his prepared remarks, where we'll ramp it up to about $1 million per quarter.

And then we may even take it further if we see that we're getting good return on investment. And so right now, we get a lot of good metrics from the digital media company, and we're seeing, based on the benchmarks that they're used to in terms of total conversions and the cost per conversion, it seems to be going well. And so that's where we stand right now with the advertising.

David Steinberg -- Jefferies -- Analyst

OK. Then just a couple of brief questions on your P&L. Bill, I think you'd said we shouldn't take the fourth quarter and multiple it by four for next year on the revenue side, but I was just curious on the cost side. For the fourth quarter, you've spent about $60 million or so in R&D, which is a pretty big uptick from previous quarters.

Is that a reasonable run rate for each quarter as we move into 2019? And then secondly, you had quoted the MannKind disclosures. You've -- they paid a $2 million amendment fee related to the insulin. Is that a one-off? And is that a big reason why your diabetes line item was much higher than expected?

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. So I'll start with the last question. So the $2 million amendment fee was paid in December, so that is in that line item. So that's one of the big drivers there, and that's a onetime event.

So we did have an amendment fee. It's a similar amount related to the last couple of years ago. But right now, that -- we don't envision any further amendment fee, so we'd consider that as a onetime event. And as far as the R&D run rate, it's -- I think I've mentioned to one of the other questions, we do expect some lumpiness this year.

And we do expect that, if things go as planned, we could have both insulin and inhalation clinical trials overlapping later on in the year in the third and fourth quarter. So the first half of the year might be closer to where we were in the fourth quarter. But the second half of the year, we expect the R&D spend to ramp up well above where that is right now. I also wanted to add one more thing to the other question about the Primatene ad spend because it's not just the ads on the digital, but we also have in-store promotions as well.

So we're working with the drugstore chains, new in-store promotions and special display centers, special advertising in stores, couponing, discounting, some other things. Some of -- most -- depending on what the expense is, some of those are gross to net items. They could bump -- make that higher gross to net. But some of those other things are in the advertising line, some of the displays and promotional activities that we're doing there that we're working on.

David Steinberg -- Jefferies -- Analyst

OK. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up from David Maris with Wells Fargo. Your line is reopened.

David Maris -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Hi. I just had a question on ANP. Maybe if you could give us an update on currently where the activities are and what the planned expansion progress looks like.

Jason Shandell -- President

Sure. So yes, we're excited by ANP and the financing that we did last year. And so that money went right to work, and so the real focus right now is on the construction of the finished product lines. And the -- and so the goal is to complete that over the next one to two years with the long-term goal of selling finished product in China and other international geographies.

David Maris -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Great. Thanks very much.

Jason Shandell -- President

Thank you.

Operator

And I'm not showing any further questions at this time. I'd now like to turn the call back over to Jason for any closing remarks.

Jason Shandell -- President

Great. Thank you, operator. This completes our call, and just hope everybody has a great day. Thanks a lot.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 35 minutes

Call Participants:

Jason Shandell -- President

Bill Peters -- Chief Financial Officer

David Amsellem -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Elliot Wilbur -- Raymond James -- Analyst

David Maris -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Gary Nachman -- BMO Capital Markets

Serge Belanger -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

David Steinberg -- Jefferies -- Analyst

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Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Does General Electric’s Stock Chart Point to New Lows?

What happened to General Electric (NYSE:GE)? The once-steady industry stock with a respectable dividend has been anything but reliable over the past 18 months. Even after GE stock price collapsed to $6.66 per share, GE stock still remains wildly volatile, as it surged more than 50% from those lows before its recent retreat.

GE StockGE StockSource: Shutterstock

The gyrations of GE stock price have left long-term investors — assuming there are any left — scratching their heads. Will GE be forced to divest its top-notch businesses in an attempt to repair its balance sheet, leaving it with no productive units? Or will GE’s management be able to strategically offload enough assets and turn cash-flow positive, enabling GE stock to get back on track?

That remains unclear, but even under the rosiest of circumstances, the time frame of the recovery of GE stock price has now been moved back.

GE’s Recovery Takes a Detour

As I’ve written previously on InvestorPlace, GE stock price has been a bit hotter that its fundamentals justify. GE stock went from a low of $6.66 (before the market bottom in late-December) to more than $11. We’ve seen big rallies in Honeywell (NYSE:HON) and United Technologies (NYSE:UTX) too, but they are doing much better from a business perspective. But aside from a few asset sales, the fundamentals of General Electric stock really weren’t improving all that much.

Its cash flow is still under pressure, its balance sheet is still weak and GE is being forced out of multiple businesses. Basically, I don’t think that General Electric stock deserved to rally more than 66% in a few months.

JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa, who’s bearish on GE stock, agrees with me  or should I say, I agree with Tusa, who was the first analyst to raise the alarm on General Electric stock. He continually slashed his price target on the way down, nailing every bit of the decline before it happened. Around the lows, Tusa bumped his rating from “sell” to “neutral”, but maintained his $6 price target.


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He now calls that price target “generous” after the company’s latest news. Earlier this week, GE CEO Larry Culp said that the conglomerate’s industrial-free-cash flow would be negative this year. He painted a no-nonsense picture that basically said the turnaround won’t start for a long time. Tusa says the turnaround will take a couple of years, arguing that GE stock probably hasn’t bottomed yet.

On Mar. 14, General Electric will provide its outlook. Those who are bulls on General Electric stock  will view the event as an opportunity for GE’s management to reignite the shares. Those with more bearish views on General Electric , like JPMorgan’s Shawn Quigg, think that optimism is likely too high going into the event. For traders, this event will also be an opportunity.

Trading GE Stock Chart of GE stock priceChart of GE stock price

How far can GE stock fall on negative news? If the shares reach Tusa’s $6 price target, we’re talking about more than 36% downside from their current levels. Also keep in mind, though, that if General Electric does hit Tusa’s price target, it will have taken out its 2018 lows as well.

When trading GE stock, there are a few levels to keep in mind. The first is $8.86. If General Electric stock falls below this mark, GE stock will be below both its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, as well as its prior downtrend support. That would open up the possibility of a drop below $8 and increase the odds of a retest of the stock’s lows.

If General Electric stock gets to $10, I want to see how it handles that level. At $10, there is short-term downtrend resistance, as well as the 21-day moving average of $9.86 (not pictured above). It will be significant if that area becomes resistance.

Ultimately the charts are losing some of their bullish luster, and new lows could be on the way. However, we need to monitor this name and some of the existing support levels before making that call. Stay flexible with General Electric stock.

Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell did not hold a position in any of the aforemen

FibroGen (FGEN) Raised to Buy at Zacks Investment Research

FibroGen (NASDAQ:FGEN) was upgraded by Zacks Investment Research from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research note issued on Friday. The firm presently has a $62.00 target price on the biopharmaceutical company’s stock. Zacks Investment Research‘s price target would indicate a potential upside of 14.03% from the company’s previous close.

According to Zacks, “FibroGen, Inc. is a research-based biotechnology company. It is focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutic agents for treatment of anemia, fibrosis, cancer, and other serious unmet medical needs. The Company develops Roxadustat that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease; and FG-3019 which is in Phase II clinical development for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, pancreatic cancer, and liver fibrosis. FibroGen, Inc. is headquartered in San Francisco, California. “

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FGEN has been the subject of several other reports. BidaskClub upgraded shares of FibroGen from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Saturday, December 22nd. TheStreet cut shares of FibroGen from a “c-” rating to a “d+” rating in a research report on Wednesday, November 21st. Citigroup upgraded shares of FibroGen from a “neutral” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $71.00 price objective for the company in a research report on Tuesday, December 18th. Mizuho reiterated a “buy” rating and set a $74.00 price objective on shares of FibroGen in a research report on Monday, December 17th. Finally, ValuEngine cut shares of FibroGen from a “strong-buy” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday, February 14th. One analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and six have given a buy rating to the stock. The company currently has a consensus rating of “Buy” and a consensus target price of $72.40.

Shares of FGEN stock opened at $54.37 on Friday. The stock has a market cap of $4.62 billion, a P/E ratio of -52.79 and a beta of 1.77. The company has a quick ratio of 6.76, a current ratio of 6.76 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20. FibroGen has a 52 week low of $37.27 and a 52 week high of $68.55.

FibroGen (NASDAQ:FGEN) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, February 27th. The biopharmaceutical company reported $0.23 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the Zacks’ consensus estimate of ($0.17) by $0.40. FibroGen had a negative net margin of 87.84% and a negative return on equity of 24.59%. The business had revenue of $108.05 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $72.15 million. During the same period in the prior year, the company earned ($0.27) EPS. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 251.5% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, research analysts forecast that FibroGen will post -0.93 EPS for the current year.

In related news, CEO Thomas B. Neff sold 60,000 shares of the stock in a transaction on Friday, January 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $44.39, for a total transaction of $2,663,400.00. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer now directly owns 2,652,785 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $117,757,126.15. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, Director Roberto Pedro Rosenkranz sold 1,000 shares of the stock in a transaction on Thursday, December 20th. The stock was sold at an average price of $41.00, for a total transaction of $41,000.00. Following the transaction, the director now directly owns 27,700 shares in the company, valued at $1,135,700. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 275,991 shares of company stock valued at $14,499,277. 8.96% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.

A number of hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the stock. American International Group Inc. lifted its stake in shares of FibroGen by 1.0% in the fourth quarter. American International Group Inc. now owns 50,074 shares of the biopharmaceutical company’s stock valued at $2,317,000 after buying an additional 478 shares in the last quarter. BBR Partners LLC lifted its stake in shares of FibroGen by 7.6% in the fourth quarter. BBR Partners LLC now owns 7,056 shares of the biopharmaceutical company’s stock valued at $327,000 after buying an additional 500 shares in the last quarter. Meeder Asset Management Inc. lifted its stake in shares of FibroGen by 622.4% in the fourth quarter. Meeder Asset Management Inc. now owns 614 shares of the biopharmaceutical company’s stock valued at $28,000 after buying an additional 529 shares in the last quarter. Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich Cantonalbank lifted its stake in shares of FibroGen by 13.1% in the fourth quarter. Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich Cantonalbank now owns 5,259 shares of the biopharmaceutical company’s stock valued at $243,000 after buying an additional 609 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Xact Kapitalforvaltning AB lifted its stake in shares of FibroGen by 6.6% in the fourth quarter. Xact Kapitalforvaltning AB now owns 12,988 shares of the biopharmaceutical company’s stock valued at $601,000 after buying an additional 800 shares in the last quarter. 65.63% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

About FibroGen

FibroGen, Inc, a research-based biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutic agents to treat serious unmet medical needs. It is developing Roxadustat, an oral small molecule inhibitor of hypoxia inducible factor prolyl hydroxylases (HIF-PHs) that is in Phase III clinical development for the treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease; Pamrevlumab, a human-monoclonal antibody that inhibits the activity of connective tissue growth factor, which is in Phase II clinical development for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, pancreatic cancer, liver fibrosis, and Duchenne muscular dystrophy; and FG-5200, a corneal implant medical device for the treatment of corneal blindness resulting from partial thickness corneal damage.

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Sunday, March 10, 2019

Accredited Investors Inc. Takes Position in Maxim Integrated Products Inc. (MXIM)

Accredited Investors Inc. bought a new position in shares of Maxim Integrated Products Inc. (NASDAQ:MXIM) during the 4th quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The firm bought 4,000 shares of the semiconductor company’s stock, valued at approximately $203,000.

Several other hedge funds and other institutional investors have also modified their holdings of the company. Avitas Wealth Management LLC increased its position in Maxim Integrated Products by 4.5% during the third quarter. Avitas Wealth Management LLC now owns 57,193 shares of the semiconductor company’s stock worth $3,225,000 after buying an additional 2,454 shares during the period. Vanguard Group Inc increased its position in Maxim Integrated Products by 0.5% during the third quarter. Vanguard Group Inc now owns 28,025,275 shares of the semiconductor company’s stock worth $1,580,346,000 after buying an additional 150,909 shares during the period. Conning Inc. increased its position in Maxim Integrated Products by 4.9% during the fourth quarter. Conning Inc. now owns 138,822 shares of the semiconductor company’s stock worth $7,059,000 after buying an additional 6,517 shares during the period. Kepos Capital LP acquired a new position in Maxim Integrated Products during the third quarter worth approximately $3,075,000. Finally, Davidson Investment Advisors increased its position in Maxim Integrated Products by 1.2% during the fourth quarter. Davidson Investment Advisors now owns 195,988 shares of the semiconductor company’s stock worth $9,966,000 after buying an additional 2,258 shares during the period. 93.69% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

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In other Maxim Integrated Products news, CEO Tunc Doluca sold 2,500 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Friday, March 1st. The stock was sold at an average price of $54.96, for a total transaction of $137,400.00. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, Director James R. Bergman sold 14,210 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, February 6th. The stock was sold at an average price of $56.46, for a total value of $802,296.60. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 40,520 shares of company stock worth $2,241,832. 0.85% of the stock is owned by company insiders.

MXIM has been the topic of several research analyst reports. BidaskClub raised Maxim Integrated Products from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Friday, November 23rd. Morgan Stanley cut their price target on Maxim Integrated Products from $54.00 to $53.00 and set an “equal weight” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, December 19th. Zacks Investment Research raised Maxim Integrated Products from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Thursday, January 3rd. Bank of America lowered Maxim Integrated Products from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating in a research report on Friday, January 4th. Finally, Evercore ISI cut their price target on Maxim Integrated Products from $60.00 to $55.00 in a research report on Monday, January 14th. Three analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, twelve have issued a hold rating and four have assigned a buy rating to the company. Maxim Integrated Products presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $59.67.

MXIM opened at $52.37 on Friday. The company has a current ratio of 6.54, a quick ratio of 5.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57. The firm has a market cap of $15.28 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.89, a PEG ratio of 1.95 and a beta of 1.35. Maxim Integrated Products Inc. has a one year low of $46.64 and a one year high of $64.40.

Maxim Integrated Products (NASDAQ:MXIM) last posted its earnings results on Tuesday, January 29th. The semiconductor company reported $0.60 EPS for the quarter, missing the Zacks’ consensus estimate of $0.62 by ($0.02). The firm had revenue of $576.91 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $590.50 million. Maxim Integrated Products had a return on equity of 42.09% and a net margin of 28.72%. On average, equities analysts anticipate that Maxim Integrated Products Inc. will post 2.45 earnings per share for the current year.

The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, March 14th. Shareholders of record on Thursday, February 28th will be given a dividend of $0.46 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Wednesday, February 27th. This represents a $1.84 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 3.51%. Maxim Integrated Products’s payout ratio is 67.90%.

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About Maxim Integrated Products

Maxim Integrated Products, Inc designs, develops, manufactures, and markets a range of linear and mixed-signal integrated circuits in the United States, China, the rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company also provides a range of high-frequency process technologies and capabilities for use in custom designs.

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Institutional Ownership by Quarter for Maxim Integrated Products (NASDAQ:MXIM)

Saturday, March 9, 2019

3 Money Milestones Everyone Should Reach by 40

There's no getting around it: Turning 40 means you're officially a full-fledged adult (sorry), and that you should, ideally, have your financial house in order by then. Here are three key milestones you should aim to have reached by the time your 40th birthday rolls around.

1. Have a fully loaded emergency fund

Life has a way of throwing unwanted financial surprises at us when we least expect them, but by the time you're 40, there's really no excuse to not have a means of covering them. If you're nearing 40 without much in the way of emergency savings, it's time to make that your chief priority.

Smiling man with cars faded in the background

IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.

Ideally, your emergency fund should contain enough money to cover three to six months' worth of living expenses. The specific target you choose should depend on your life's circumstances. If you don't have kids or own a home, then you're probably safe sticking to the low end of that range. But if you have children and are responsible for maintaining property, then the higher end is more suitable.

Where will the money for your emergency fund come from? You might try cutting some expenses from your budget, whether it's the cable plan you rarely use or the restaurant meals you can replace with cheaper home-cooked alternatives. You might also look into getting yourself a side hustle, especially if you're not too keen on slashing expenses. The money you earn from it can be used to build that safety net so that the next time an emergency strikes, you're not automatically driven into debt. And that leads to the next point...

2. Get out of unhealthy debt

It's not unusual to carry a mortgage or even have some residual student debt by the time you reach 40. But one type of debt you don't want to have is that of the credit card variety. Credit card debt is pretty much the worst kind to have. It's costly, it can damage your credit score, and it can cause you a world of financial stress.

If you're carrying credit card debt, make a plan to get rid of it. You can use the aforementioned tactics (cutting expenses and getting a side job) to drum up the cash to eliminate it. At the same time, you might look at transferring your existing balances onto a card with a lower interest rate (or, better yet, a 0% introductory rate). The less interest you accrue on the amount you owe, the easier it'll be to dig out of that hole.

3. Buy life insurance

Many people assume they don't need life insurance because they're not rich or they don't have kids. You can come up with a dozen or more excuses as to why you don't need a policy, but the reality is this: If you have people in your life who depend on you financially, or who would be hurt financially if you were to pass, then you absolutely need insurance. It doesn't have to be a $1 million policy; rather, it needs to be enough to know that you've covered your loved ones.

Imagine you're nearing 40 and have a spouse with whom you jointly own a home. If you were to pass suddenly, your spouse would likely have a hard time keeping up with the mortgage. That's why life insurance is something you shouldn't delay, and if you apply by the time you turn 40, you should manage to secure a fairly favorable rate based on your age (keeping in mind that the older you get, the costlier life insurance tends to be).

You have a couple of different choices when it comes to buying life insurance. You can get a term life policy, which will cover you for a preset period of time, or you can buy permanent life insurance, which will cover you for the rest of your life. The latter option is more expensive, but permanent life insurance policies also accumulate a cash value that makes them an investment vehicle of sorts.

No matter which type of policy you choose, make sure to buy enough coverage to give your beneficiaries the protection they need. You might, for example, buy a policy that pays out five times your annual salary plus enough money to pay off your mortgage, assuming you have one. If you have children, you might factor in expenses like their education into the equation as well. It pays to consult with a financial advisor before buying life insurance to get a good sense of how much coverage you need.

While you might still feel relatively young at 40 (as you should), consider that big birthday a wakeup call to address the financial matters you might've neglected thus far. And then go ahead and celebrate like you deserve.