Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Morning Movers: Energizer Surges on Planned Split; Panera Slides on Sales Disappointment

Stocks have dipped slightly this morning after U.S. gross-domestic product barely rose during the first quarter. The market, however, is also waiting to hear from the Federal Reserve this afternoon.

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S&P 500 futures have dipped 0.1%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are off just 2 points.Nasdaq Composite futures have fallen 0.3%.

U.S. GDP rose just 0.1%, well below forecasts for 1.1%. Blame the weather.

Energizer Holdings (ENR) has jumped 18% to $115 after it said it planned to split itself in two.

Pepco (POM) has surged 18% to $26.87 after it agreed to be purchased by Exelon (EXC) for $27.25 a share in an all-cash deal. Exelon has dropped 2.4% to $35.31.

Panera Bread (PNRA) has dropped 5.5% to $154.23 after beating earnings forecasts, but reporting tepid same-store-sales growth and offering disappointing guidance.

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) has fallen 1.8% to $55.38 after reporting sluggish sales.

 

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Hot Safest Companies To Own For 2015

Conservative investors prefer debt instruments not only because they safeguard the capital invested but also for the regular income flows they provide. Bonds bring a great deal of stability to an equity-heavy portfolio while providing dividends more frequently than individual bonds. U.S government bonds funds usually invest in Treasury bills, notes and securities issued by government agencies. They are considered to be the safest in the bond fund category and are ideal options for the risk-averse investor.

Below we will share with you 5 top rated government bond mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) as we expect these mutual funds to outperform their peers in the future. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all government bond funds, investors can click here to see the complete list of funds.

ProFunds Rising Rates Opportunity (RRPSX) seeks returns on a daily basis which is 1.25 times the inverse of that of the daily returns of the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond. The fund invests in derivatives which taken together provide such returns. The government bond mutual returned 6.38% over the last one year period.

Hot Safest Companies To Own For 2015: DIRECTV(DTV)

DIRECTV provides digital television entertainment in the United States and Latin America. The company provides direct-to-home (DTH) digital television services, as well as multi-channel video programming distribution services in the United States. It offers various channels of digital-quality video entertainment and CD-quality audio programming directly to subscribers' homes or businesses, as well as video-on-demand services; and approximately 160 national high-definition television channels and 4 3D channels. The company also provides premium professional and collegiate sports programming, such as the NFL SUNDAY TICKET package, which allows subscribers to view the NFL games. In addition, it offers DTH digital television services in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Puerto Rico. The company provides its local and international programming under the DIRECTV and SKY brand names. As of December 31, 2010, it served approximately 19.2 million subscribers in the United States; and 8.9 million subscribers in Latin America. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in El Segundo, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Satellite providers like Dish Network Corp. (NASDAQ: DISH) and DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) saw a drop of 162,000 in the quarter and appear stuck at a total audience of around 34 million. The satellite companies actually have�seen a slight uptick in subscriber numbers over the past 12 months.

  • [By Rich Smith]

    Picking the best value between two similar-seeming stocks can sometimes be tricky -- but not always. In the contest between DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH  ) and DIRECTV (NASDAQ: DTV  ) , for example, there's simply no contest: DIRECTV stock is clearly the better value. Why?

  • [By Michael Lewis]

    While its biggest competitor is embroiled in an M&A battle with giant Japanese banks and telecom juggernauts, DIRECTV (NASDAQ: DTV  ) continues to dominate at its core business. In the just-ended quarter, the company added another 583,000 subscribers in Latin America -- that small, extremely populous region of the world that other cable providers glossed over when glancing at their corporate-strategy edition Rand McNally. In the meantime, North American revenues are rising healthily as well, proving that the company not only gets customers in the door but upsells them as well. The market has rewarded it with new 52-week highs and a healthy valuation, but is there still room left to run? Let's take a look.

Hot Safest Companies To Own For 2015: Midnight Sun Mining Corp (MMA)

Midnight Sun Mining Corp., formerly Midnight Sun Capital Corp., is an exploration-stage company engaged in the acquisition and exploration of mineral property interests in Canada. On May 12, 2010, the Company completed its Qualifying Transaction and entered into a mineral property option agreement with ATAC Resources Ltd. Under the agreement it agreed to acquire a 100% interest in the Arn mineral properties located in the Whitehorse Mining District, Yukon Territory. The Company announced that it has entered into an agreement dated July 28, 2011, with Logwood Investments Inc., a Namibian company (the Optionor), whereby the Company had acquired the option to earn a 60% interest in certain mineral properties in Namibia. The Klein Aub Copper-Silver Property in Namibia includes the seven optioned properties comprising 3,750 square kilometers of Exclusive Prospecting Licences in Namibia. The northern group of three properties are located 90 kilometers south of the capital city of Windhoek. Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dividends4Life]

    Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA) or Treasury bond? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section (see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description):

  • [By Dividends4Life]

    Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA) or Treasury bond? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section (see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description):

  • [By Dividends4Life]

    Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA) or Treasury bond? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section (see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description):

10 Best Prefered Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Supertex Inc.(SUPX)

Supertex, Inc., together with its subsidiary, Supertex Limited, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets high voltage analog and mixed signal integrated circuits (IC) primarily in Asia, the United States, China, and Europe. The company offers high voltage analog multiplexer switches, pulsers, high-speed MOSFET drivers, and discrete high voltage MOSFETs and arrays for the medical electronics market. It also provides LED driver products, including linear regulators and switching regulators for general lighting in automotive, industrial, and consumer applications; and for backlighting in LCD TVs, monitors, and laptop screens. In addition, the company offers electroluminescent lamps for backlighting hand-held instruments, such as cell phone keypads, watches, monochrome flat screens, and MP3 players; and driver ICs for driving non-impact printers and plotters. Further, it provides high voltage amplifier ICs to drive optical micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) for use in optical switching applications in the telecommunications market; high voltage electronic switch ICs for use in telephones; high voltage ICs for use as ring generators; and protection ICs for line cards. Additionally, the company offers ICs and DMOS devices primarily for various industrial applications. It markets and sells its products through direct sales personnel, independent sales representatives, and distributors primarily to original equipment manufacturers of electronic products. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lauren Pollock]

    Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Monday’s session are AutoNavi Holdings Ltd.(AMAP), Dick's Sporting Goods Inc.(DKS) and Supertex Inc.(SUPX)

Hot Safest Companies To Own For 2015: Tencent Holdings Ltd (TCEHY)

Tencent Holdings Limited is an investment holding company. The Company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the provision of Internet value-added services, mobile and telecommunications value-added services and online advertising services to users in the People�� Republic of China. The Company operates in four segments: Internet value-added services, Mobile and telecommunications value-added services, Online advertising, and Others. As of December 31, 2011, its subsidiaries included Tencent Cyber (Tianjin) Company Limited, Tencent Asset Management Limited, Tencent Technology (Beijing) Company Limited, Tencent Cyber (Shenzhen) Company Limited, Tencent Technology (Shanghai) Company Limited and others. Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Damian Illia]

    The company has a current ratio of 11.8% which is higher than the one registered by Facebook (FB), InterXion Holding N.V. (INXN) and AOL Inc. (AOL). But for investors looking for a higher ROE, Tencent Holdings Ltd. (TCEHY) could be the option.

Hot Safest Companies To Own For 2015: On Track Innovations Ltd (OTIV)

On Track Innovations Ltd. (OTI) designs, develops and markets solutions based on its secure contactless microprocessor-based smart card technology to address the needs of a range of markets. The Company�� products combine the benefits of both microprocessors and contactless cards. In addition to contactless microprocessor-based smart cards, it also sells products that are based on other card technologies. The Company has focused on the development of its technologies and its products based on its technological platform that consists of smart cards, smart card readers, software tools and secure communication technology. As of December 31, 2012, it offers three lines of solutions, each of which constitutes a complete system, as well as components (such as smart cards and readers) that we sell to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), for incorporation into their own products. OTI�� three vertical markets include Payment Solutions, Petroleum Systems and SmartID Solutions. Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Markman Advisors]

    Public companies leveraging their patent portfolios, (aka "patent plays"), are getting the market's attention. Companies such as Vringo (VRNG), ParkerVision (PRKR), MGT Capital (MGT), Worlds Inc. (WDDD.OB) and others have presented trading opportunities due to their volatility while retaining the chance for a big payoff to those investors who stay the course. Yet there exist viable patent plays that are still undiscovered. Some of these so called "plays," which are not getting enough attention, are actually real companies making and selling real products or services in contrast to pure patent monetization companies. Some known examples are Single Touch Interactive (SITO.OB) and Blue Calypso (BCYP.OB). This article is focused on another one of these patent plays, On Track Innovations Ltd. (OTIV).

  • [By Roberto Pedone]

     

     

    One under-$10 technology player that's starting to trend within range of triggering a major breakout trade is On Track Innovations (OTIV), which designs, develops and markets contactless microprocessor-based smart card solutions to customers in Africa, Europe, the Far East, the Americas and Israel. This stock has been red hot over the last three months, with shares up a whopping 134%.

    If you take a look at the chart for On Track Innovations, you'll notice that this stock has been trending sideways and consolidating over the last month and change, with shares moving between $2.70 on the downside and $3.74 on the upside. Shares of OTIV have now started to spike higher off some near-term support at $3 a share and it's quickly moving within range of triggering a major breakout trade above the upper-end of its recent sideways trading chart pattern.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in OTIV if it manages to break out above its 52-week high at $3.74 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above that level with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 626,538 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then OTIV will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $4.50 to $5.50 a share.

    Traders can look to buy OTIV off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits just below some key near-term support levels at $3.20 or at $3 a share. One can also buy OTIV off strength once it starts to clear its 52-week high at $3.74 a share with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Hot Safest Companies To Own For 2015: Crestwood Midstream Partners LP (CMLP)

Crestwood Midstream Partners LP engages in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas primarily on the Barnett Shale formation of the Fort Worth Basin in north Texas. The company conducts its operations through its Cowtown System, Lake Arlington Dry System, and Alliance Midstream Assets, as well as the Fayetteville Shale and the Granite Wash plays. As of December 31, 2010, it managed approximately 500 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines. Crestwood Gas Services GP LLC serves as the general partner of Crestwood Midstream Partners LP. The company was formerly known as Quicksilver Gas Services LP and changed its name to Crestwood Midstream Partners LP in October 2010. Crestwood Midstream Partners LP was founded in 2004 and is based in Houston, Texas. Crestwood Midstream Partners LP is a subsidiary of Crestwood Gas Services Holdings LLC.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Aimee Duffy]

    Crestwood Midstream Partners (NYSE: CMLP  ) was one day shy of completing its merger with Inergy Midstream, when CEO Bob Phillips told Bloomberg the partnership was already looking for more deals. Well, it turns out Crestwood had already found a deal, as we learned Thursday. The master limited partnership plans to acquire Arrow Midstream Holdings for $750 million.

  • [By Robert Rapier]

    Next week�� issue will tackle the three remaining questions: one on MLP equivalents in Canada and Australia, one on Enbridge Energy Partners (NYSE: EEP) �and TC Pipelines (NYSE: TCP), and a third query on Access Midstream Partners (NYSE: ACMP), Crestwood Midstream Partners (NYSE: CMLP) and Mid-Con Energy Partners (Nasdaq: MCEP).

  • [By Aimee Duffy]

    With Kinder Morgan's acquisition of Copano Energy officially in the bag, all eyes are on the newest big deal in the midstream world: the merger of Crestwood Midstream Partners (NYSE: CMLP  ) and Inergy (NYSE: CEQP  ) . In this video, Fool.com contributor Aimee Duffy takes a look at this $7 billion deal, and explains what the ownership structure looks like at the new, yet-to-be-named entity.

  • [By Eric Volkman]

    Crestwood Midstream Partners (NYSE: CMLP  ) is boosting its presence in the West with a new acquisition. The company today announced it has reached agreement to purchase a 50% stake in Jackalope Gas Gathering Services from privately held RKI Exploration & Production. The price is roughly $108 million.

Monday, April 28, 2014

What Makes eBay Special?

With shares of eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) trading at around $55.33, is EBAY an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

C = Catalyst for the Stock's Movement

EBay has a strong history of beating expectations, but that's not what makes it special. Analysts love the stock: 30 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell, but that's not what makes it special, either. What makes it special is PayPal.

It's amazing when you stop and think about. Think of all the acquisitions throughout the broader market over the years. What percentage of those acquisitions ended up working out? It's likely a small percentage — and definitely well under 50 percent. There were many questions when eBay acquired PayPal, but there aren't many questions now. PayPal's potential is phenomenal. Consider that PayPal was responsible for 15 percent of all e-commerce transactions in 2012. Online spending is only going to increase as the years pass. Therefore, PayPal is extremely well-positioned. And this potential is global, not just domestic. eBay is looking to market PayPal globally through mobile. It's especially going after Brazil, Russia, India, and China. It should also be noted that eBay is taking a slow and steady approach with PayPal opposed to getting ahead of itself. This is a good sign.

Best Gold Stocks To Watch For 2015

As far as company culture goes, it's not as strong as one would think, considering such strong and consistent results. According to Glassdoor.com, employees have rated their employer a 3.1 of 5. This is slightly above average, but only 52 percent of employees would recommend the company to a friend. And only 51 percent of employees approve of CEO John. J. Donahoe.

EBay's last quarter revenue increased 14 percent year-over-year. Guidance for the current quarter is weak, but this could be a sandbagging approach.

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The chart below compares fundamentals for eBay, Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Overstock.com (NASDAQ:OSTK).

EBAY AMZN OSTK
Trailing P/E 26.93 N/A 32.41
Forward P/E 17.23 81.89 20.16
Profit Margin 18.68% -0.14% 1.71%
ROE 13.64% -1.11% 72.33%
Operating Cash Flow 4.24B 4.25B 48.73M
Dividend Yield N/A N/A N/A
Short Position 1.00% 1.70% 34.10%

Let's take a look at some more important numbers prior to forming an opinion on this stock.

T = Technicals Are Strong

EBay hasn’t performed well over the past month, but it has outperformed its peers over a three-year time frame.

1 Month Year-To-Date 1 Year 3 Year
EBAY -3.25% 8.73% 36.11% 144.5%
AMZN -2.03% 6.56% 17.41% 103.3%
OSTK 108.9% 86.30% 283.6% 13.59%

At $55.33, eBay is trading above its averages.

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50-Day SMA 54.38
200-Day SMA 52.94

E = Equity to Debt Ratio Is Strong

The debt-to-equity ratio for eBay is stronger than the industry average of 0.30.

Debt-To-Equity Cash Long-Term Debt
EBAY 0.21 9.40B 4.52B
AMZN 0.36 7.90B 3.04B
OSTK 0.00 81.89M 0.00

 

E = Earnings Have Been Steady

Earnings haven’t shown impressive growth over the past several years, but they have been steady. Revenue growth has been very impressive. This trend is likely to continue.

Fiscal Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Revenue ($) in billions 8.54 8.73 9.16 11.65 14.07
Diluted EPS ($) 1.36 1.83 1.36 2.46 1.99

When we look at the last quarter on a year-over-year basis, we see an increase in revenue and earnings.

Quarter Mar. 31, 2012 Jun. 30, 2012 Sep. 30, 2012 Dec. 31, 2012 Mar. 31, 2013
Revenue ($) in billions 3.28 3.40 3.40 3.99 3.75
Diluted EPS ($) 0.44 0.53 0.45 0.5686 0.51

 

T = Trends Support the Industry

The e-commerce market is expected to grow exponentially in the coming years, which has a lot to do with the increased popularity of smartphones and tablets.

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Conclusion

EBay has strong revenue growth, healthy margins, good cash flow, quality debt management, and tremendous potential with PayPal.

Saturday, April 26, 2014

7 Reasons to Still Believe in Netflix

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX  ) initially slumped after posting quarterly results last night, but things aren't all that bad for the leading video service.

Let's go against the herd and point out the things that went right for Netflix in its latest report.

1. Netflix didn't miss its subscriber guidance or even land in the middle
Netflix closed out the quarter with 37.56 million global streaming subscribers, and that's actually well above the midpoint of its April guidance calling for 36.7 million to 37.95 million.

Even for those lamenting that domestic subscribers came in a little soft, the 29.81 million domestic Web-tethered accounts is also above the midpoint of its earlier range of 29.4 million to 30.05 million accounts.

2. The defection rate of DVD subs is improving on a year-over-year basis
There's no saving Netflix's DVD rental business, though CEO Reed Hastings once again confirmed that the company has no plans to shut it down.

On that front, Netflix closed out the period with 470,000 fewers DVD renters than it had three months earlier. That's worse than the 240,000 mail-based subs that it lost during the first three months of the year, but Netflix lost a whopping 850,000 DVD accounts during last year's second quarter.

Don't be surprised by the large drop. The trend is working against the platform, but it's compounded this time of year as folks put Netflix on hold for the summer.

Even Outerwall (NASDAQ: OUTR  ) -- the only company posting year-over-year growth in the DVD renting business -- is expected to post a sharp sequential decline in its Redbox business when it reports on Thursday. There is seasonality here.

Top Food Companies To Buy Right Now

3. There's less red overseas
Yes, Netflix is still losing money in its international business, but contribution deficit of $66 million during the quarter is actually Netflix's best quarter in that regard since late 2011.

Expanding into the Netherlands and a commitment to step up investments in international content will lead to the red ink growing sequentially in the current quarter, but it will still be better than any single quarterly showing from last year.

4. There's more black closer to home
Profitability more than quadrupled to $0.49 a share, well ahead of the $0.40 a share that analysts were forecasting.

Put another way, the last time that Netflix scored more than the $29 million in quarterly net income that it posted now was back in 2011.

Despite the perpetual defections on the DVD end and costly overseas expansion into new territories, Netflix's domestic streaming business is saving the day. Since Netflix began breaking out the contribution profit on its domestic streaming business, margins have improved every single quarter -- going from 10.9% at the end of 2011 to 22.5% today.

5. Turbo's slow start isn't the end of the world here
One of Netflix's big bets to replace the Nickelodeon content that went away in May is a huge deal with DreamWorks Animation (NASDAQ: DWA  ) for original content. The first installment will be December's launch of Turbo F.A.S.T., a Netflix exclusive based on the computer animation studio's movie that opened this past weekend.

Yes, Turbo was a box office dud. Like the signature snail itself, it got off to a slow start.

However, Netflix content chief Ted Sarandos pointed out during the call that box office receipts are factored into its rate card. In other words, Netflix will get price breaks on future theatrical releases if they do disappoint at the multiplex.

6. Amazon, Hulu, and Netflix can co-exist
Content prices for serialized dramas are heading higher with Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN  ) committing to original content earlier this year and Hulu's studio owners throwing new money at the venture after backing out of sale talks.

This may seem to be a tough time for Netflix, but keep in mind that it already has plenty of multiyear deals in place at earlier rates.

Netflix also wanted to emphasize how differentiated the different streaming platforms have become. Of the 200 most watched titles on Netflix, Hulu has just 32 and Amazon Prime Instant is at 68. When your nearest competitor -- Amazon -- has just a third of your most magnetic content, there will be room for TV buffs to subscribe to multiple cheap streaming services.

7. Two's company but three's a business model
Netflix boasted that it has ordered second seasons for all of its original shows except for Arrested Development, yet it's also open to a second season of the cult fave if it can work something out that's favorable to all parties.

However, twice during last night's video earnings call, Hastings made comments about "three, four, or five seasons" of House of Cards. Nothing appears to be in the works. It seems unlikely that David Fincher and Kevin Spacey would sign on for that long. However, it's an important reminder that we're still in the early innings here.

It's hard to fathom Netflix being as sticky as Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX  ) HBO when it comes to original programming. There's a reason why folks are paying twice as much for HBO, and that's on top of their chunky cable or satellite television bills. However, as some of Netflix's more successful shows do get extended seasons, it will be that much harder to let it go.

If you just like one show on HBO, you'll subscribe for three months, nixing the premium movie channel the rest of the year. If you like several shows -- on HBO or Netflix -- you'll stick around because it's just easier that way.

Nothing but Netflix
The market didn't seem to like Netflix's numbers, but there's plenty to like if you know where to look. 

The television landscape is changing quickly, with new entrants like Netflix and Amazon.com disrupting traditional networks. The Motley Fool's new free report "Who Will Own the Future of Television?" details the risks and opportunities in TV. Click here to read the full report!

Friday, April 25, 2014

Mid-Day Market Update: Pandora Shares Tumble After Q1 Results; Weatherford Spikes Higher

Related BZSUM Mid-Morning Market Update: Markets Open Lower; Ford Profit Misses Street View #PreMarket Primer: Friday, April 25: More Sanctions On Russia Likely

Midway through trading Friday, the Dow traded down 0.79 percent to 16,370.72 while the NASDAQ tumbled 1.43 percent to 4,088.84. The S&P also fell, dropping 0.70 percent to 1,865.40.

Leading and Lagging Sectors
Utilities sector was the only gainer in the US market on Friday. Leading the sector was strength from FirstEnergy (NYSE: FE) and Wisconsin Energy (NYSE: WEC). Technology shares declined around 1.53 percent in Friday's trading.

Top losers in the sector included CommVault Systems (NASDAQ: CVLT), off 28 percent, and Mellanox Technologies (NASDAQ: MLNX), down 13 percent.

Top Headline
Ford Motor Co (NYSE: F) reported a drop in its first-quarter profit. Ford's quarterly profit slipped to $989 million, or $0.24 per share, versus a year-ago profit of $1.61 billion, or $0.40 per share. Its revenue rose to $35.9 billion versus $35.6 billion. However, analysts were projecting earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $34.54 billion.

Equities Trading UP
Gigamon (NYSE: GIMO) shares shot up 7.77 percent to $17.33 after the company announced Q1 results. Gigamon reported a Q1 loss of $0.07 per share on revenue of $31.80 million. Needham upgraded the stock from Buy to Strong Buy.

Top Transportation Stocks To Watch Right Now

Shares of Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT) got a boost, shooting up 10.02 percent to $20.25 after the company reported upbeat quarterly earnings. Weatherford reported its Q1 earnings of $0.13 per share on revenue of $3.60 billion.

SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWR) shares were also up, gaining 5.15 percent to $33.67 after the company reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter results. SunPower reported its earnings of $0.49 per share on revenue of $683.70 million.

Equities Trading DOWN
Shares of CommVault Systems (NASDAQ: CVLT) were 28.32 percent to $49.16 after the company reported downbeat quarterly revenue. CommVault reported earnings of $0.52 per share on revenue of $156.80 million. However, analysts were expecting a profit of $0.47 per share on revenue of $160.16 million.

Pandora Media (NYSE: P) shares tumbled 13.01 percent to $24.53 on weak Q1 earnings and Q2 outlook. Pandora reported a Q1 loss of $0.13 per share.

Yingli Green Energy Holding Co (NYSE: YGE) was down, falling 14.25 percent to $3.62 after the company priced follow-on public offering of 25 million ADSs at $3.50 per ADS.

Commodities
In commodity news, oil traded down 1.08 percent to $100.84, while gold traded up 0.84 percent to $1,301.50.

Silver traded up 0.01 percent Friday to $19.72, while copper rose 0.05 percent to $3.09.

Eurozone
European shares were lower today.

The Spanish Ibex Index dropped 1.47 percent, while Italy's FTSE MIB Index fell 2.07 percent.

Meanwhile, the German DAX tumbled 1.53 percent and the French CAC 40 fell 0.80 percent while U.K. shares declined 0.38 percent.

Economics
The preliminary reading of Markit Services PMI came in at 54.20 in April, versus economists' expectations for a reading of 55.50.

The final reading of Reuter's/University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index rose to 84.10 in April, versus a prior reading of 82.60. However, economists were expecting a reading of 83.00.

Posted-In: Earnings News Guidance Eurozone Futures Forex Global Econ #s Economics Intraday Update Markets Movers Tech

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Thursday, April 24, 2014

Top Food Companies To Buy Right Now

Top Food Companies To Buy Right Now: CHS Inc (CHSCP)

CHS Inc. (CHS) is an integrated agricultural company. As a cooperative, the Company is owned by farmers and ranchers and their member cooperatives (members) across the United States. The Company buys commodities from and provide products and services to patrons (including its members and other non-member customers), both domestic and international. It provides a variety of products and services, from initial agricultural inputs, such as fuels, farm supplies, crop nutrients and crop protection products, to agricultural outputs, which include grains and oilseeds, grain and oilseed processing and food products. A portion of its operations are conducted through equity investments and joint ventures. The Company has three segments: Energy, Ag Business, and Corporate and Other. In February 2012, the Company acquired Solbar. In May 2012, the Company acquired a 51% interest in CZL Ltd. In August 2012, it acquired Atman. Effective July 28, 2013, CHS Inc, a unit of Hamilton Farm Bur eau Co-Operative Inc, acquired a 50% interest in AgFarm Pty Ltd, from Ruralco Holdings Ltd.

During the fiscal year ended August 31, 2011 (fiscal 2011), the Company dissolved its United Harvest joint venture, which operated two grain export facilities in Washington that were leased from the joint venture participants. During fiscal 2011, the Company sold its 45% ownership interest in Multigrain to one of its joint venture partners, Mitsui & Co., Ltd. During fiscal 2011, the Company, through its wholly owned subsidiary, CHS Europe, S.A. acquired Agri Point Ltd.

The Company's Energy segment derives its revenues through refining, wholesaling and retailing of petroleum products. Its Ag Business segment derives its revenues through the origination and marketing of grain, including service activities conducted at export terminals, through the wholesale sales of crop! nutrients, from the sales of soybean meal and soybean refined oil and through the retail sales of petroleum and agronomy products, processed sunflow! ers, feed and farm supplies, and records equity income from investments in its grain export joint ventures and other investments. It includes other business operations in Corporate and Other. These businesses primarily include its financing, insurance, hedging and other service activities related to crop production. In addition, the Company's wheat milling and packaged food operations are included in Corporate and Other.

Energy

The Company is the nation's cooperative energy company based on revenues and identifiable assets. The Company's operations include petroleum refining and pipelines; the supply, marketing (including ethanol and biodiesel) and distribution of refined fuels (gasoline, diesel fuel and other energy products); the blending, sale and distribution of lubricants; and the wholesale supply of propane. The Energy segment processes crude oil into refined petroleum products at refineries in Laurel, Montana (wholly owned) and McPhers on, Kansas (an entity in which the Company has an approximate 74.5% ownership interest) and sells those products under the Cenex brand to member cooperatives and others through a network of approximately 1,400 independent retail sites, of which 57% are convenience stores marketing Cenex branded fuels.

The Company's Laurel, Montana refinery processes medium and high sulfur crude oil into refined petroleum products that primarily include gasoline, diesel fuel, petroleum coke and asphalt. Its Laurel refinery sources approximately 85% of its crude oil supply from Canada, with the balance obtained from domestic sources, and the Company has access to Canadian and northwest Montana crude through its wholly owned Front Range Pipeline, LLC and other common carrier pipelines. Its Laurel refinery also has access to Wyoming crude via common carrier pipelines from the south. The! Laurel f! acility processes approximately 55,000 barrels of crude oil per day to produce refined products that consist of approximately 43% gasoline, 37% die! sel fuel ! and other distillates, 5% petroleum coke, and 15% asphalt and other products. Refined fuels produced at Laurel are available via the Yellowstone Pipeline to western Montana terminals and to Spokane and Moses Lake, Washington, south via common carrier pipelines to Wyoming terminals and Denver, Colorado, and east via its wholly owned Cenex Pipeline, LLC to Glendive, Montana, and Minot and Fargo, North Dakota.

The McPherson, Kansas refinery is owned and operated by National Cooperative Refinery Association (NCRA), of which the Company owns approximately 74.5%. The McPherson refinery processes approximately 85% low and medium sulfur crude oil and 15% heavy sulfur crude oil into gasoline, diesel fuel and other distillates, propane and other products. NCRA sources its crude oil through its own pipelines as well as common carrier pipelines. The low and medium sulfur crude oil is sourced from Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas, and the heavy sulfur crude oil is sourced from Can ada. The McPherson refinery processes approximately 85,000 barrels of crude oil per day to produce refined products that consist of approximately 49% gasoline, 45% diesel fuel and other distillates, and 6% propane and other products. Approximately 32% of the refined fuels are loaded into trucks at the McPherson refinery or shipped via NCRA's products pipeline to its terminal in Council Bluffs, Iowa. The remaining refined fuel products are shipped to other markets via common carrier pipelines.

The Company's renewable fuels marketing business markets and distributes ethanol and biodiesel products throughout the United States and overseas by contracting with ethanol and biodiesel production plants to market and distribute their finished products. It owns and operates a propane terminal, four asphalt terminals, seven refined product terminals and three lubri! cants ble! nding and packaging facilities. The Company also owns and leases a fleet of liquid and pressure t railers and tractors, which are used to transport refined fu! els, prop! ane, anhydrous ammonia and other products.

The Company's Energy segment produces and sells (primarily wholesale) gasoline, diesel fuel, propane, asphalt, lubricants and other related products and provides transportation services. It obtains the petroleum products that it sells from its Laurel and McPherson refineries, and from third parties. In fiscal 2011, the Company obtained approximately 55% of the refined products it sold from its Laurel and McPherson refineries, and approximately 45% from third parties.

Ag Business

The Company's Ag Business segment includes crop nutrients, country operations, grain marketing and oilseed processing. The revenues in its Ag Business segment primarily include grain sales. Its wholesale crop nutrients business sells approximately 5.6 million tons of fertilizer annually. Primary suppliers for the Company's wholesale crop nutrients business include CF Industries, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Mosaic Company, Koch Industries, Petrochemical Industries Company (PIC) in Kuwait and Belrusian Potash Company. The Company's wholesale crop nutrients business sells nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium and sulfate based products. During fiscal 2011, the primary crop nutrients products the Company purchased were urea, potash, UAN, phosphates and ammonia. The wholesale crop nutrients business sells product to approximately 2,000 local retailers from New York to the west coast and from the Canadian border to Texas. Its largest customer is its own country operations business, which is also included in its Ag Business segment.

The Company's country operations business purchases a variety of grains from its producer members and other third parties, and provides cooperative members and customers with access to a range of products, programs and services f! or produc! tion agriculture. Country operations operates 401 locations through 67 business units, the majority of whic h have local producer boards dispersed throughout Colorado, ! Idaho, Il! linois, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Texas and Washington. Most of these locations purchase grain from farmers and sell agronomy, energy, feed and seed products to those same producers and others, although not all locations provide every product and service.

The Company is one of the country elevator operators in North America based on revenues. Through a majority of the Company's locations, its country operations business units purchase grain from member and non-member producers and other elevators and grain dealers. Most of the grain purchased is sold through its grain marketing operations, used for livestock feed production or sold to other processing companies. For the year ended August 31, 2011, country operations purchased approximately 582 million bushels of grain, primarily wheat, corn and soybeans. Of these bushels, 558 million were purchased from members and 417 million were sold through it s grain marketing operations. Its country operations business units manufacture and sell other products, both directly and through ownership interests in other entities. These include seed, crop nutrients, crop protection products, energy products, animal feed, animal health products and processed sunflower products.

The Company is the cooperative marketer of grain and oilseed based on grain storage capacity and grain sales, handling over 2.1 billion bushels annually. During fiscal 2011, it purchased approximately 60% of its total grain volumes from individual and cooperative association members and its country operations business, with the balance purchased from third parties. The Company arranges for the transportation of the grains either directly to customers or to its owned or leased grain terminals and elevators awaiting delivery to! domestic! and foreign purchasers. It primarily conducts its grain marketing operations directly, but do conduct some of its bu siness through joint ventures.

The Company's! grain ma! rketing operations purchases grain directly and indirectly from agricultural producers primarily in the midwestern and western United States. The purchased grain is contracted for sale for future delivery at a specified location, and it is responsible for handling the grain and arranging for its transportation to that location. The Company owns and operates export terminals, river terminals and elevators involved in the handling and transport of grain. Its river terminals are used to load grain onto barges for shipment to both domestic and export customers via the Mississippi River system. These river terminals are located at Savage and Winona, Minnesota and Davenport, Iowa, as well as terminals in which it has put-through agreements located at St. Louis, Missouri and Beardstown and Havana, Illinois.

The Company's export terminal at Superior, Wisconsin provides access to the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Seaway, and its export terminal at Myrtle Grove, Louisia na serves the Gulf of Mexico market. In the Pacific Northwest, it conducts its grain marketing operations through TEMCO, LLC (a 50% joint venture with Cargill) which operates an export terminal in Tacoma, Washington, and primarily exports corn and soybeans. The Company owns two 110-car shuttle-receiving elevator facilities in Friona, Texas and Collins, Mississippi that serve large-scale feeder cattle, dairy and poultry producers in those regions.

For sourcing and marketing grains and oilseeds through the Black Sea and Mediterranean Basin regions to customers worldwide it has offices in Geneva, Switzerland; Barcelona, Spain; Kiev, Ukraine; and Vostok, Russia. In addition, it opened grain merchandising offices in fiscal 2011 in Budapest, Hungary; Novi Sad, Serbia; Bucharest, Romania; Sofia, Bulgaria; and a marketing office in Amma! n, Jordan! . The Company has a deep water port in Constanta, Romania, a barge loading facility on the Danube River in Giurgiu, Romania, an d an inland grain terminal at Oroshaza, Hungary. In addition! , it has ! an investment in a port facility in Odessa, Ukraine. In the Pacific Rim area, it has offices in Hong Kong and Shanghai, China that serve customers receiving grains and oilseeds from its origination points in North and South America. In South America, the Company has a grain merchandising offices to source grains in Sao Paulo, Brazil and Buenos Aires, Argentina. It sells and markets crop nutrients from its Geneva, Switzerland; Sao Paulo, Brazil; and Buenos Aires, Argentina offices.

The Company's grain marketing operations purchased approximately 2.1 billion bushels of grain during fiscal 2011, which primarily included corn, soybeans, wheat and distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS). Of the total grains purchased by its grain marketing operations, 866 million bushels were from its individual and cooperative association members, 417 million bushels were from its country operations business and the remainder was from third parties. The Company's oilseed pr ocessing operations convert soybeans into soybean meal, soyflour, crude soybean oil, refined soybean oil and associated by-products. These operations are conducted at a facility in Mankato, Minnesota that can crush approximately 40 million bushels of soybeans on an annual basis, producing approximately 960 thousand short tons of soybean meal and 460 million pounds of crude soybean oil. The same facility is able to process approximately 1.1 billion pounds of refined soybean oil annually. Another crushing facility in Fairmont, Minnesota has a crushing capacity of over 50 million bushels of soybeans on an annual basis, producing approximately 1.2 million short tons of soybean meal and 575 million pounds of crude soybean oil.

The Company's oilseed processing operations produce three primary products: refined oils, soybea! n meal an! d soyflour. Refined oils are used in processed foods, such as margarine, shortening, salad dressings and baked goods, as well as methyl e ster/biodiesel production, and for certain industrial uses, ! such as p! lastics, inks and paints. Soybean meal has high protein content and is used for feeding livestock. Soyflour is used in the baking industry, as a milk replacement in animal feed and in industrial applications. It produces approximately 60 thousand tons of soyflour annually, and approximately 20% is further processed at its manufacturing facility in Hutchinson, Kansas. This facility manufactures unflavored and flavored textured soy proteins used in human and pet food products, and accounted for approximately 2% of its oilseed processing annual sales in fiscal 2011.

The Company's soy processing facilities are located in areas with a strong production base of soybeans and end-user market for the meal and soyflour. It purchases virtually all of its soybeans from members. The Company's oilseed crushing operations produce approximately 95% of the crude soybean oil that it refines, and purchases the balance from outside suppliers. Its customers for refined oil are p rincipally large food product companies located throughout the United States. However, over 50% of its customers are located in the midwest. Its largest customer for refined oil products is Ventura Foods, LLC (Ventura Foods), in which it holds a 50% ownership interest. The Company's sales to Ventura Foods accounted for 27% of its soybean oil sold during fiscal 2011. The Company also sells soymeal to approximately 325 customers, primarily feed lots and feed mills in southern Minnesota. In fiscal 2011, Interstate Commodities accounted for 12% of its soymeal sold. It sells soyflour to customers in the baking industry both domestically and for export.

Corporate and Other

The Company has provided open account financing to approximately 100 of its members that are cooperatives (cooperative associatio! n members! ). These arrangements involve the discretionary extension of credit in the form of a clearing account for settlement of grain purchases and as a ca sh management tool. CHS Capital, LLC makes seasonal and term! loans to! member cooperatives and individual producers. The Company's wholly owned subsidiary, Country Hedging, Inc., is a registered Futures Commission Merchant and a clearing member of both the Minneapolis Grain Exchange and the Kansas City Board of Trade. Country Hedging provides full-service commodity risk management brokerage and consulting services to its customers, primarily in the areas of agriculture and energy.

The Company's wholly owned subsidiary, Ag States Agency, LLC, is a full-service independent insurance agency. It sells insurance, including all lines of insurance including property and casualty, group benefits and surety bonds. Its approximately 2,000 customers are primarily agribusinesses, including cooperatives and independent elevators, energy, agronomy, feed and seed plants, implement dealers and food processors. Impact Risk Solutions, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Ag States Agency, LLC, conducts the insurance brokerage business of Ag States Group.

The Company's primary focus in the foods area is Ventura Foods, LLC (Ventura Foods) which produces and distributes vegetable oil-based products, such as margarine, salad dressing and other food products. Ventura Foods is 50% owned by the Company. Ventura Foods manufactures, packages, distributes and markets bulk margarine, salad dressings, mayonnaise, salad oils, syrups, soup bases and sauces, many of which utilize soybean oil as a primary ingredient. Ventura Foods has 11 manufacturing and distribution locations across the United States. Ventura Foods sources its raw materials, which consist primarily of soybean oil, canola oil, cottonseed oil, peanut oil and other ingredients and supplies, from various national suppliers, including its oilseed processing operations. Agriliance LLC (Agrili! ance) is ! owned and governed by CHS (50%) and Land O'Lakes, Inc. (50%).

The Company competes with ConocoPhillips, Valero, BP Amoco, Flint Hills Resourc es, CVR Energy, Western Petroleum Company, Marathon, ExxonMo! bil, Citg! o, Flint Hills Resources, U.S. Oil, Delek US Holdings, HollyFrontier Corporation, Sinclair Oil Corporation, Tesoro, Chevron, Koch Industries, Agrium, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Cargill, Incorporated (Cargill), Simplot, Helena, Wilbur Ellis, Land O'Lakes Purina Feed, Hubbard Milling, Columbia Grain, Gavilon, Bunge, Louis Dreyfus, Ag Processing Inc., Unilever, ConAgra, ACH Food Companies, Smuckers, Kraft and CF Sauer, Ken's, Marzetti and Nestle.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Paul Ausick]

    ConAgra said on Wednesday that it will close two plants in New York by early 2015, cutting more than 400 employees. The company also expects to close its $4 billion flour mill merger in the second calendar quarter of 2014. Privately held Cargill and CHS Inc. (NASDAQ: CHSCP) will hold 44% and 12%, respectively, of Ardent Mills, while ConAgra will hold the other 44%. Combined sales of what will be the country’s largest milling operation total $4.3 billion.

  • source from Top Stocks Blog:http://www.topstocksblog.com/top-food-companies-to-buy-right-now.html

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

3 Stocks That Just Aced Their Exams

Facebook Logo Twitter Logo RSS Logo Louis Navellier Popular Posts: Google Stock Split Is All Good For GOOG Investors5 Biotech Stocks Promising Future Rewards3 Stocks to Buy Now That Spring is In the Air Recent Posts: 3 Stocks That Just Aced Their Exams PPG Stock Paints a Bright Future (PPG) YHOO Stock Moves Forward as YHOO Earnings Grow View All Posts

We are now well into earnings season with the first big week of the quarter behind us. Although we have several weeks to go, there have already been some interesting results that have led to changes in Portfolio Grader rankings for select stocks.

green up arrow 630 300x200 3 Stocks That Just Aced Their Exams Source: Flickr

One of the biggest drivers of stock upgrades is a large earnings surprise that catches the Street off guard. Not only does this mean that the fundamentals of the company are improving, but stocks reporting positive surprises usually attract some strong buying that can push the quantitative grade up a notch or two as well.

Here’s a look at three companies that simply delivered on their most recent earnings reports, and whose stocks have gotten fundamental upgrades as a result.

Next Page

Upgraded Stocks: United Rentals (NYSE:URI)

UnitedRentals185 3 Stocks That Just Aced Their ExamsUnited Rentals (NYSE:URI) is in a pretty basic business. URI rents construction and industrial equipment to construction companies, municipalities and other customers. Of course, that equipment includes things such as backhoes, forklifts, earth-moving equipment and portable generators, so … it’s not exactly the most exciting business in the world.

However, the results make URI stock one of the most exciting equities of the current earnings season. United Rentals beat estimates by more than 26% as it posted yet another consecutive positive earnings surprise.

CEO Michael Kneeland expressed confidence that the good times will continue. He told shareholders "We now see solid demand in almost every market, giving us further confidence in our full year outlook.”

Portfolio Grader likes what it see as well and this week upgraded URI stock to an “A,” signaling that URI stock has earned a “strong buy” recommendation.

Next Page

Upgraded Stocks: Interactive Brokers Group (NASDAQ:IBKR)

InteractiveBrokers185 3 Stocks That Just Aced Their ExamsInteractive Brokers Group (NASDAQ:IBKR) had a huge quarter, with the broker and market-maker group’s revenues and profits surpassing Wall Street's expectations.

Earnings per share jumped from 14 cents per share to 34 cents, exceeded consensus estimates by 17%. Revenues were $355 million, compared to just $216 million in the same quarter last year. Margins got a lot fatter this quarter as well — IBKR boasted 61% pretax profit margins, up from 38% in the year-ago quarter. Lastly, customer accounts grew 16% year-over-year to 252,000 as investors and traders continue to return to the stock and bond markets.

Portfolio Grader recognized the strong improvements in the fundamentals and upgraded IBKR stock to an “A” this week, signifying a “strong buy” recommendation.

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Upgraded Stocks: Rite Aid (NYSE:RAD)

RiteAid185 3 Stocks That Just Aced Their ExamsWall Street has continually estimated the reality and strength of the earnings turnaround at Rite Aid (NYSE:RAD). The drugstore chain posted a 150% positive earning surprise in the most recent quarter as business conditions just continue to improve for the company.

Total revenues increased 2.2%, primarily as a result of an increase in pharmacy same-store sales, which improved 2.1% year-over-year. RAD also guided higher and now projects sales of $26 billion to $26.5 billion and EPS of 31 cents to 42 cents, which is above the original analyst estimates.

Last week, RAD stock was upgraded to an “A” and is currently a strong buy.

Louis Navellier is the editor of Blue Chip Growth.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

‘No Easy Way to Win’ in Today’s Market: Shiller

Yale economist Robert Shiller says that the market ratio he developed is “rather high,” but that investors should still hold some stocks today.

That ratio, the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, is now at 25.28. That is way off is historic high of 44.20 in December 1999, but also way above the market’s long-term average of 15.

The CAPE index was also quite high in 1996, when Shiller testified before the Federal Reserve, and then “it kept going for almost three more years,” the Nobel Prize winner said in an interview Friday on Yahoo Finance. “Even though it’s high, I still think stocks out to be part of someone’s portfolio — maybe not as big a part” as in previous times, he explained.

Overall, the economist is sanguine about investing and returns in 2014: “We are just not living in the best of times. The momentum is weakening in housing; stocks look overpriced; bonds are paying poorly; there’s risk there, too. There’s no easy way to win in this market. So I’m thinking, you have to diversify and probably keep something in stocks.”

As for technology and recent weakness in some social media and biotech companies, he is especially concerned. “When people get really excited about an investment, I tend to go the other way … It’s a contrarian instinct.”

He explained that the Barclays Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) is invested in health care and energy. Recently it moved into financials and technology. “These are all sectors with low CAPE relative to past performance," he said. "I think there is a better bet.”

Lewis Lessons

Discussing Michael Lewis’ latest book, “Flash Boys,” Shiller said, “It raises an important issue … for regulators to think about.”

But he also noted that Lewis is “being a little sensationalist. People should not be afraid of investing in the market.”

Shiller’s thinking is that that market has “been rigged in one sense or another from the beginning of its history. There have always been people trying to main the market or take advantage of front run.”

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Housing Hints

Data on housing starts was weaker than expected last week. But whether that portends a shift in the housing recovery “is not clear to me yet,” he says. “Home prices were down a smidgen in the last couple of months, but season adjusted, they are still up.”

However, “It’s no longer at all clear that momentum is a safe bet anymore,” Shiller stressed.

“And momentum still appears to be up,” he said. “I’m thinking home prices should probably go up but at a reduced pace. They’re nothing to get excited about.”

And while he sees not “solid evidence of a fall,” the economist recommends investors “take these risks into account.”

Finally, when it comes to putting money into real estate versus equities, he suggests investors diversify. “It’s just common sense,” Shiller explained.

Monday, April 21, 2014

Stocks edge higher in post-holiday trade

Wall Street pushed stocks up slightly higher in early Trading Monday as traders get back to business after the Easter weekend, and stocks look to extend gains following last week's best gains since July 2013.

After Monday's opening bell, the Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 are fractionally higher and the Nasdaq is up 0.2%.

There was no trading on Wall Street Friday, as markets were closed for Good Friday. On Thursday, the Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 2.54 points, or 0.1% to 1,864.85 and the Nasdaq composite index gained 9.29 points, or 0.2% to 4,095.52. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 16.31 points, or 0.1%, to 16,408.54, dragged lower by IBM's disappointing earnings report.

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THURSDAY: S&P 500 closes higher for 4th day; Dow drops

Investors are awaiting a slew of economic reports this week, beginning with the leading economic indicators, to be released by The Conference Board at 10 a.m. ET on Monday. Existing home sales numbers will be out on Tuesday, followed by new home sales figures on Wednesday.

INDICATORS: Week ahead filled with economic reports

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 index was little changed, losing 3.89 points to close at 14.512.38 after Japan posted a record annual trade deficit in 2013. The Shanghai composite lost 31.92 points, or 1.5%, to 2,065.83. Australia, New Zealand and Hong Kong markets were closed in observance of the Easter holiday.

ASIA: Japan logs record $134B trade deficit in FY 2013

Markets in England, France and Germany were also closed for Easter.

Contributing: The Associated Press.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

The Dow's 5 Most Loved Stocks

Move over, Superman: There's a more unstoppable force that can leap even the highest expectations, and its name is the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) . America's most iconic stock market index comprising 30 of its most globally diverse companies is up an astonishing 16.4% year to date and hasn't seen a down month since October.

Plenty of factors are working in the Dow's favor, such as record-low lending rates that are spurring business lending and home purchases, as well as an improving unemployment rate and slow-but-steady growth in the manufacturing sector.

While your initial thought might be that this rally is long overdue for a correction, short-sellers have wisely avoided certain companies within the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Today I propose we look at these so-called most-loved stocks of the Dow, discover what makes them so universally shunned by short-sellers, and determine whether current shareholders have anything to worry about.

Company

Short Interest As a % of Shares Outstanding

Merck (NYSE: MRK  )

0.76%

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  )

0.77%

Pfizer (NYSE: PFE  )

0.78%

United Technologies (NYSE: UTX  )

0.80%

Wal-Mart

0.82%

Source: S&P Capital IQ.

Merck
Why are short-sellers avoiding Merck?

Merck jumped to the top of the least short-sold list after not even appearing on it last month likely because of its strong clinical data reported at the American Society of Clinical Oncology's annual meeting. A new class of immunotherapy drugs known as PD-1 inhibitors are the hottest thing in the biotech sector, and Merck's Lambrolizumab delivered an impressive 38% overall response rate in early-stage results for advanced melanoma. With patent expirations not stinging its bottom line as much as expected, Merck is certainly wowing existing shareholders.

Do investors have a reason to worry?

There is no such thing as a reason not to worry when it comes to owning a pharmaceutical company, because patent protection periods are for only a finite period of time. Luckily for Merck, it has fracture-preventing osteoporosis drug Odanacatib slated to be filed for new drug approval next year, and it has the potential to deliver up to $3 billion in sales, according to the Street's estimates. Although growth prospects might be tempered over the coming years for Merck, it'll still deliver strong cash flow and a solid dividend, which doesn't make it a particularly convincing short-sale candidate.

Coca-Cola
Why are short-sellers avoiding Coca-Cola?

I'm still trying to figure out how Coca-Cola got bumped from its top spot this month, or any other month for that matter. Coca-Cola operates in all but two countries worldwide, giving it what is essentially unparalleled geographic diversity. The company offers everything from high-growth energy drinks to slow-but-steady brand-name growth with its traditional sparkling beverage lines. It's no wonder that research firm Interbrand anointed Coca-Cola as its most valuable brand in the world for 2013.


Source: KB35, Flickr. 

Do investors have a reason to worry?

Only if they're planning to try to make a quick buck on Coca-Cola over the short term. Of course, no stock is going to go up forever, and even Coca-Cola could run into slower growth in developed regions such as Western Europe and the U.S. in the short run. However, there's still a moat of opportunity in emerging-market nations for Coca-Cola to grow, and it boasts incredible pricing power over its peers. Simply put, with 51 straight annual dividend increases under its belt, why would you ever bet against Coca-Cola?

Pfizer
Why are short-sellers avoiding Pfizer?

Just as we saw with Merck, big pharmaceutical companies often provide big dividends, huge margins, and steady cash flow, which make them poor short-sale candidates. Short-sellers have even less reason to bet against Pfizer, with blood-thinning drug Eliquis, which is co-developed with Bristol-Myers Squibb, being approved by the Food and Drug Administration in late December. Eliquis has multibillion-dollar potential.

Do investors have a reason to worry?

Yet again, it depends on what your investing timeframe is. For short-term investors, Pfizer may cause shareholders fits, with Lipitor's expiration still stinging and blockbuster pain drug Celebrex due to lose patent exclusivity in December 2015 after a one-and-a-half-year extension in March. Over the long run, Eliquis and Pfizer's remaining pipeline may prove more than enough to continue to pump out steady profits, and short-sellers would be wise to keep their distance.

United Technologies
Why are short-sellers avoiding United Technologies?

Despite serving the building and aerospace industries, which are quite prone to hiccups related to lower government spending, United Technologies silenced pessimists in the first quarter by reporting an adjusted EPS increase of 16% and reaffirming its full-year EPS outlook. What weakness had been expected in the U.S. appears to be more than made up by growth in its equipment orders aboard -- especially in China.

Do investors have a reason to worry?

United Technologies is more of a macroeconomic global play than anything else. Unless we see a rapid deterioration in Europe's economy, or we see China's GDP break into the 5% GDP growth range (about half its 30-year average growth rate), then shareholders probably don't have too much to worry about. Keep an eye on growth rates in China, as they'll probably dictate where United Technologies heads next.

Wal-Mart
Why are short-sellers avoiding Wal-Mart?

The thesis for why pessimists avoid Wal-Mart is relatively simple: It's the largest retail chain in the world, and it commands incredible pricing power that can squash a good chunk of its competitors. Wal-Mart provides investors with predictable cash flow stemming from the fact that more than half of its revenue comes from the grocery aisle. As a one-stop-shop for nearly everything, it certainly doesn't offer short-sellers a compelling reason to bet against it.

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Do investors have a reason to worry?

This might be the one case among these five companies where investors should be showing signs of concern. Wal-Mart may the "low-price leader," but even it is having trouble with higher payroll taxes and delayed tax refunds because of IRS furloughs eating into its bottom line. Wal-Mart is a good indicator for retail sales in our economy, and its 1.4% same-store sales decline in its latest quarter may not bode well for the retailer in the interim. Wal-Mart isn't particularly expensive at 13 times forward earnings, but its revenue growth rate of 4% certainly leaves a lot to be desired.

Which most loved Dow Jones component do you think has the best chance at moving decisively lower? Share your thoughts in the comments section below.

Can Merck beat the patent cliff?
This titan of the pharmaceutical industry stumbled into 2013 and continues to battle patent expirations and pipeline problems. Is Merck still a solid dividend play, or should investors be looking elsewhere? In a new premium research report on Merck, the Fool tackles all of the company's moving parts, its major market opportunities, and reasons to both buy and sell. To find out more click here to claim your copy today.


Wednesday, April 16, 2014

PNC Climbs As Q1 Bottom Line Beats Expectations

PNC Financial Services (PNC) was climbing more than 1% in Wednesday morning trading as the bank's first-quarter earnings topped expectations.

PNC reported earnings of $1.06 billion, or $1.82 per share, up from $1.74 a share a year ago and above the $1.66 a share analysts were expecting.

However, a good part of that beat came from lower costs, as PNC, along with its peers, is still dealing with an environment of low loan demand and interest rates. Revenue in the quarter slipped 4.5% to $3.78 billion, below the $3.85 billion consensus, and its consumer-loan portfolio grew only 1.6%, reflecting the sluggish mortgage market.

Nonetheless, PNC saw its overall loan portfolio climb 6.3% to $198.3 billion, helped by commercial loans, which rose 9.5%.

Citigroup's Keith Horowitz was impressed by the bank's expense control but kept a Hold rating on the stock, writing "Relative to our estimates, the beat was driven by: 1) 23c on better core PTPP, largely from significantly better expense trends, 2) 9c on credit due to higher than expected LLR release, partially offset by 3) 9c from higher one-timers (est $55 mil in legal exp), and 4) 6c from higher tax and share count."

Other financial names that reported this morning include Bank of America (BAC), Credit Suisse (CS) and U.S. Bancorp (USB).

Update: On its conference call, management also said there is the possibility of doing an annual special dividend, but it depends on the CCAR process.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

BitAuto Holdings Stock Pulls Into the Fast Lane (BITA)

There are many ways to play the growth of China’s middle class and BitAuto Holdings (BITA) may offer a combination of two of the best: cars and the Internet.

BitAuto provides Internet content and marketing services for the automotive industry in China. Its BitAuto.com and Ucar.cn websites provide consumers new and used automobile pricing information, specifications, reviews and consumer feedback.

I last wrote about BitAuto as the Bull of the Day in late November when it was trading just below $35. In the subsequent four months, it built a base at $27 and reached an all-time high above $46 in early March. I thought it was a good time to revisit the name as it just became a Zacks #1 Rank again on a big boost in the earnings outlook.

New Name, Experienced Player

Since China overtook the US as the world’s largest automobile market in 2010, Chinese companies have of course been scrambling to capitalize on the boom. While you may have never heard of BitAuto and you may be skeptical about “another Chinese Internet company,” their roots in the auto industry go back more than a decade.

BitAuto was originally an advertising agency focusing on the automobile sector before they expanded into an integrated online vertical/portal model. They operate their websites as vehicles for dealers, automotive advertisers and consumers to converge.

According to analysts at Oppenheimer, “With China’s emerging auto sector coupled with strong secular tailwinds of increasing Internet ad spend, rising domestic consumption, Internet penetration growth, and greater reliance by consumers on the Internet for car information, BITA is positioned to maintain its leading position in the automotive online advertising and agency business.”

The BitAuto Model

The company operates in three segments: BitAuto.com business, Ucar.cn business and digital marketing solutions business. The BitAuto.com business provides subscription services to new automobile dealers and advertising services to dealers and automakers on the their websites.

BitAuto’s Ucar.cn business provides listing and advertising services to used automobile dealers on Ucar.cn website. And their business services division provides automakers with digital marketing solutions, including website creation and maintenance, online public relations, online marketing campaigns and advertising agent services.

High-Speed Growth

In 2010 through 2012, BITA grew revenues at average annual pace of 57%. While that early-stage growth pace is slowing, the numbers are still impressive. In early March, BITA reported standout Q4 2013 results with the following highlights…

Revenue was $79.9 million, a 36.3% increase from the corresponding period in 2012. Revenue in fiscal year 2013 was $237.8 million, a 36.2% increase from 2012.

Operating profit was $17.2 million, a 52.2% increase from the corresponding period in 2012. Operating profit in fiscal year 2013 was $41.4 million, a 63.3% increase from 2012.

The company also guided to 1Q14 sales $53.9-55.5M, suggesting continued 36-40% year-over-year revenue growth. In reaction, Oppenheimer analysts noted…

“BITA continues to focus on providing more value-added services for auto dealers via its CRM system. According to mgmt, the EP platform generated over 11M sales leads for dealers in 4Q and 30M in 2013. The mobile business also started to gain momentum, accounting for over 40% of the sales leads in December.”

And these views, combined with strong forward guidance from the company, also prompted the analysts to bump their EPS projections for this year by 30%…

“We're raising our 2014 sales and GAAP estimates from $301M/$1.18 to $327M/$1.54, and increasing our target to $45 from $30.”

Innovation and Partnership

The Chinese have made it clear they like to build their own dominant companies in key industries, like the Internet for instance. For this reason, hedge fund manager John Burbank of Passport Capital has major investments in Baidu (BIDU), Qihoo 360 (QIHU), which specializes in Internet security, search, and mobile apps, and SouFun (SFUN) which he calls the “Zillow of China.”

In November, BitAuto announced a joint venture with Kelley Blue Book and the China Automobile Dealers Association (CADA) to provide data on the Chinese used car market. But not only did BITA pick a great US partner, they are also launching these services in mobile applications to meet the country’s increasingly high-tech consumer demand.

“Bitauto is delighted to cooperate with Kelley Blue Book and CADA to bring innovative vehicle valuations to China’s used car market,” said Mr. William Bin Li, chairman and chief executive officer of Bitauto in the company press release. “We see increasingly strong demand for vehicle valuation products particularly in China’s used car market which is currently under-served and is now entering a period of rapid development.

“We believe that consumers will greatly benefit from the joint venture’s products and services which will offer quick and easy access to the most market-reflective vehicle valuations, helping them make informed decisions on their vehicle transactions. We are confident that these will become the starting point for consumers and dealers seeking used vehicle pricing information.”

Mr. Li added, “Our combined experience, technology and brand will drive the development of this joint venture and allow us to deliver trusted values to China’s used car market. We believe this joint venture will further solidify Bitauto’s leading position in China’s online used car market.”

The new Web and mobile-based products will be the direct access point for China’s most comprehensive and up-to-date car valuation information and is expected to serve as a central hub for the development of China’s new and used car industries.

If you are looking for a high-growth play on the Chinese consumer, BitAuto may be a good option. When I last wrote about BITA in November, the forward P/E was pricey at 33X on a $35 stock. Now that shares are back to $32 and the EPS estimates are higher, you’re looking at paying under 25X for high double-digit earnings growth.

At that price, I think the stock is definitely worth looking at to own a piece of the key player in the biggest auto market in the world.

Kevin Cook is a Senior Stock Strategist for Zacks where he runs the Follow The Money portfolio.

BAIDU INC (BIDU): Free Stock Analysis Report

BITAUTO HOLDNGS (BITA): Free Stock Analysis Report

QIHOO 360 TECH (QIHU): Free Stock Analysis Report

SOUFUN HLDG-ADR (SFUN): Free Stock Analysis Report

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Monday, April 14, 2014

Has Greece Returned To Former Glory?

After five years of severe recession and declining credit worthiness, Greece's improving macroeconomic data has created a more reliable environment for investments.

Reflecting that improvement, people are again depositing their money in Greek financial institutions and buyers have returned to the Greek stock market. The data below detail this improvement.

Macro

From 2008 (first year of recession) until 2011, Greek GDP declined by 7.3 percent. The average rate of decline these years was 7.76 percent per year.

gdp_0.png

In 2012 however, the recovery began. The GDP increased by 0.7 percent.

deficit_0.png

Furthermore, the government deficit is the lowest it's been since 2008 (-9.00 percent of GDP). At the same time, industrial production has significantly improved since January 2011. Retail sales are up since December 2012.

industrial_prodiction_-_retail.png

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See also: Greece Rumored To Be In Line For 8.3B Rescue Payment IMF Will Consider 3.6b Tranche

Inflows

While the macroeconomic data are improving, the relationship between depositors and the government is strengthening even more. Greek private sector deposits increased 1.4 percent month on month (mom) for the second straight month in December. Balances reached 163.25 billion Euros, according to the Bank of Greece (BoG). Net inflows stood at 2.35 billion in December.

December's performance made the net flow for whole year positive to 2.24 billion in 2013. In contrast outflows of 12.76 billion were recorded in 2012. As the central banker of Greece stated "Greek banks are well capitalized". The CEO of Piraeus bank (ASE: TPEIR) also underlined that "the Greek banks will end up being some of the best capitalized banks in Europe."

The improving macroeconomic environment explains why the Greek stock Market is surging. The ATHEX Composite has skyrocketed by 82.17 percent since March 2012. Investors are picking the undervalued companies that were affected by the crisis.

Even more impressive is the continuous decline of the Greek premium. The Greece risk premium is the spread between 10-year Greek government bond, and the benchmark,10-year German bond). It is now 512bps.

As appears in the graph below, the big drop in the premium from 2012 till now, signifies that creditors as well as investors appear to trust the Greek economic change. The Greek Government bond yield has sunk to the lowest since at least 2010, as the recovery from the sovereign-debt crisis gains momentum.

ga_0.png

Recent news

Another indicator that perceptions of Greece are much better is the exceptional performance of the Greek banks. The enormous demand of foreign investor for the unsecured bond that Piraeus Bank issued, as well as for the capital increases of both the Alpha bank (ASE:ACB) and Pireaus bank, represent a vote of confidence for the Greek banking system.<

Sources:

OECD Library

Macropolis

CNBC

Posted-In: News Forex Global Markets Best of Benzinga

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Sunday, April 13, 2014

Jacobs Wins Nuclear Decommissioning Contract

Magnox Limited is decommissioning nuclear power facilities in the U.K. Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC  ) has been contracted to provide project management resources, skills development, coaching, and employment opportunities for Magnox employees as an extension of original protocols established with Jacobs and AMEC in 2011, the companies announced today.

Under its VELA alliance with AMEC, a British engineering and consulting firm, Jacobs is able to provide Magnox the opportunity to retain skills within the entire nuclear industry while  VELA gains access to a skilled pool of talent from within Magnox with which to augment and develop its teams of experts serving the wider nuclear industry. A value for the contract announced today was not disclosed.

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Jacobs Group Vice President Bob Irvin said: "Together with Magnox, [Jacobs and AMEC ] are pleased to blend a complementary set of skills, experience and capabilities together in support of Magnox's decommissioning work in the UK."

There are 11 Magnox reactors in the U.K. Jacobs is one of the world's largest providers of technical, professional, and construction services. 

link

Saturday, April 12, 2014

JPM Stock is Feeling Down on Disappointing Earnings

Facebook Logo Twitter Logo RSS Logo Louis Navellier Popular Posts: NOK Restructuring Leads to a Buy on Nokia StockIt’s Time to Hang Up on Verizon Stock (VZ)Time to Rinse Away Your Procter & Gamble Stock Holding Recent Posts: Hold on to Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) … at Least for Now JPM Stock is Feeling Down on Disappointing Earnings Time to Rinse Away Your Procter & Gamble Stock Holding View All Posts

Welcome to the Stock of the Day.

JPMorgan185 JPM Stock is Feeling Down on Disappointing Earnings In morning trading JPMorgan Chase (JPM) was dominating headlines after it reported first-quarter operating results. JPM shares are down 3% on the news, but could there be a buying opportunity underneath the surface? Or is it really time to unload JPM? Full details here.

Company Profile

 In just the past few years, JPMorgan and Chase has become the largest bank in the United States in terms of assets; it currently boasts a $2.4 trillion portfolio. JPMorgan Chase as we know it today was founded in 2000 when Chase Manhattan Bank and J.P. Morgan & Co. merged.

This multinational banking corporation has its hands in investment banking, asset management, private wealth management as well as treasury and securities services. Headquartered in Midtown, Manhattan, this company employs over 260,000 worldwide.

Earnings Buzz

 For the first quarter JPMorgan Chase reported net income of $4.9 billion on $23.8 billion in net sales. Compared with the year ago quarter this represents a 20% drop in earnings and a 8% reduction in sales. Adjusted earnings were $1.28 per share, which missed the $1.39 consensus EPS estimate by 8%.

One problem is that JPMorgan’s mortgage business is falling on rising mortgage rates, which has depressed demand for refinancing. Q1 2014 revenue from the mortgage unit plunged $1.1 billion compared with Q1 2013—a 41% drop.

The company’s fixed income trading business also saw a 21% year-on-year decline in revenues. Because the bank doesn’t see these trends reversing anytime soon it’s likely that JPMorgan will continue to have issues in coming earnings announcements.

Current Ratings

 Before you buy any stock, you should always run it through my free Portfolio Grader ratings system. JPM stock  has fallen considerably in my screening tool since the summer. As of last May, JPM stock was an A-rated Strong Buy. Then the stock fell to a B-rating over the summer months, and then to a C-rating in the fall. It even spent February at a D-rated sell. That’s mostly because buying pressure has recently fallen to the point where JPM receives a C for its Quantitative Grade.

Meanwhile, the company has some kinks that need fixing on its balance sheet. Of the eight metrics I graded it on, the company outright fails on three: Sales growth, operating margin growth and earnings momentum. JPMorgan earns Cs on three more: Earnings growth, earnings surprises and analyst earnings revisions.

So despite strong cash flow and return on equity, the company receives a C for its Fundamental Grade.

Bottom Line: As of this posting I consider JPM stock a C-rated Hold. With the latest earnings miss and negative reaction to the data, I could very well downgrade the stock over the weekend to a sell.

So I recommend all current shareholders run JPM through Portfolio Grader first thing on Monday.

Friday, April 11, 2014

Merck Shouts "Me, Too!" But Will It Matter?

Merck (NYSE: MRK  )  has rolled out impressive phase 2 data that shows that it too has a very compelling hepatitis C regimen that may eliminate the use of side-effect laden Peginterferon and ribavirin -- the standard of care just a few short years ago.

But Merck's midstage data comes months after Gilead (NASDAQ: GILD  ) filed its application for approval with the FDA for its own two drug combination that also eliminates the use of that pesky prior generation cocktail.

MRK Chart

MRK data by YCharts

Crowding the bus
Gilead's head start could relegate Merck's MK-5172 and MK-8742 mashup to second- or third-tier status, depending on how much credit you give to Bristol Myers' (NYSE: BMY  ) daclatasvir. All three of these combination approaches do a significantly better job of eliminating viral load in hepatitis C, with fewer side effects than previous options, over a shorter treatment time period. That's a win, win, win for those keeping track.

Gilead's has already won FDA approval for one of the two drugs in its two drug combo. The highly anticipated Sovaldi got the FDA nod back in December and sales have raced out of the gate. Even though Sovaldi was only on the market for a few weeks before the quarter ended, Gilead still reported it had sold more than $140 million worth of it in the fourth quarter.

We'll know whether Sovaldi's momentum built in the first quarter soon, but odds suggest it will soon eclipse an annualized $1 billion run rate, particularly given many hepatitis C patients held off treatment in anticipation of Sovaldi's approval.

The other drug in Gilead's two-drug, one-pill therapy is ledipasvir and combined they put up impressive phase 3 results that have most industry watchers expecting the FDA will approve the drug later this year. If so, the therapy would become the first hepatitis C treatment that removes both interferon and ribavirin from the regimen.

Bristol-Myers' daclatasvir is also already in front of regulators. Bristol won FDA breakthrough status for daclatasvir, and the company has filed for its approval in Europe, where it already won compassionate-use status for use alongside Sovaldi in tough-to-treat cases. A decision on an interferon- and ribavirin-free hepatitis C approach that combines daclatasvir with Bristol's asunaprevir is also expected soon in Japan.

And if those first-to-market advantages aren't daunting enough to Merck's supporters, AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV  ) is also knee-deep in trials with its own multidrug cocktail. AbbVie's program is facing its own hurdles given its three-drug combo, while effective, may still end up being dosed with ribavirin -- at least for now.

On the plus side, Merck's data does match up squarely against results reported by Gilead, Bristol, and AbbVie. Merck's MK-5172 and MK-8742 therapy successfully eliminated the virus in 98% of genotype 1 patients in phase 2 trials.

Merck studied the use of its drugs both with and without ribavirin and only 94% of those also receiving ribavirin saw the virus eliminated after 12 weeks. Those receiving ribavirin also reported being more tired, as well as having more nausea, diarrhea, and sleeplessness than those who didn't receive the drug. That suggests there's little incentive (at least in the headline data) for doctors to continue the use of ribavirin with Merck's drugs -- if they're ever approved.

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Fool-worthy final thoughts
Gilead's Sovaldi and ledipasvir effectively cured 98% of treatment-naive hepatitis C patients over 12 weeks and 99% of patients over 24 weeks. Across treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients, both with and without liver disease, sustained virological response, or SVR rates, were 96%. Gilead also evaluated the drug over eight weeks and reported SVR of roughly 93%.

Bristol's daclatasvir, used alongside Sovaldi, posted SVR rates that were as high as 100%, depending on genotype, during midstage studies, helping clear the way for the potential for daclatasvir to be dosed alongside Sovaldi.

And AbbVie's Pearl IV study of its three-drug combination without ribavirin generated an SVR of 90% in hard-to-cure genotype 1a patients, and 97% in those patients when ribavirin was included. AbbVie's therapy did even better in less stubborn cases of genotype 1b, curing up to 99% of cases.

Given results from all the competitors are robust, the early-to-market winners are likely to gain a substantial advantage that will lock up the majority of market share. That means the other contenders, like Merck, will need to differentiate their therapy and demonstrate improved effectiveness or shorter duration periods than these competitors in specific genotypes. Either way, the road ahead for Merck is long and its latest data doesn't appear to threaten Sovaldi.

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